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16:50 Curragh

Ireland

Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Yielding · 12 runners · €12,600 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 45.4 · +0.8 clear of next best · best 7/1·8.20
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way45.4/100 rating
Sinbad My Dad
8.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: A Wave Of The SeaDiffers from our pick

A Wave Of The Sea heads our ratings on 91 and looks the right choice for this 12-furlong test on soft ground at the Curragh, though only a pound ahead of Ben Vrackie, so the margin is slim. Ben Vrackie on 90 is the chief danger and sits right on his heels, while The Mediator (87) and Whimsy (85) are the other principals who could make the frame tighter than the numbers suggest. With a gap of five or more pounds back to the chasing pack beyond that quartet, the race looks to be narrowing down to those few, and A Wave Of The Sea has the narrow edge on our figures. We side with A Wave Of The Sea.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sinbad My Dad

Miss Georgie Benson(7) · Seamus Fahey · 5yo

Top-rated of 14
score 45.4 · +0.8 clear of next best (44.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 6-4-9-2-8-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=1)
    Seamus Fahey: 0/1 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 8.20 (Smarkets) · 6th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.13
High (11–14)
IV 0.78

Today: Alfalfa (draw 10) and Whimsy (draw 7) get the bias; Rest Your Mind (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
4
5yo · G · bbOnly rideOnly runner
649281
7545.48.2·8.20
Smarkets
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2
J: Ms C E O'Ryan(7) · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 3 · combo 0/5 (0%)
9yo · G · brOnly rideOnly runner
324505
7644.520·20.00
Matchbook
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8
J: Miss O M Queally(7) · T: G. O'Leary · draw 14
4yo · F · bOnly ride
50614
7243.53.55·3.55
Matchbook
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12
J: Ms J I Stokes(7) · T: Timothy Doyle · draw 10
8yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
54106
6542.65.6·5.60
Matchbook
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7
J: Ms S Joubert(7) · T: Liam P Cusack · draw 5
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
32222
7442.540·40.00
Matchbook
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11
J: Miss M Walsh(7) · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 4
6yo · G · btpOnly rideOnly runner
00400
6642.346·46.00
Matchbook
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5
J: Ms Aine Connolly(7) · T: A. McCann · draw 7
7yo · M · chpOnly rideOnly runner
3320
7541.86.8·6.80
Matchbook
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6
J: Miss L Costello(7) · T: J P Broderick · draw 11
10yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
11649
7440.819·19.00
Matchbook
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9
J: Miss A B O'Connor · T: Padraig Roche · draw 12
5yo · M · bpOnly rideOnly runner
6127
6939.811·11.00
Matchbook
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—
J: Miss J Townend · T: J S Bolger · draw 13
4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
55202
6939.04.4·4.40
Betfair Exchange
Compare 20 books ▾
3
J: Ms E C Costello(7) · T: M K Flannery · draw 8
8yo · G · bb4lb below win markDOnly rideOnly runner
130067
7535.923·23.00
Matchbook
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1
11yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner
7400
8035.8200·200.00
Smarkets
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—
5yo · G · gpFT POnly rideOnly runner
00008
6228.31.05·1.05
Matchbook
14
5yo · M · bhtOnly ride
300060
4625.438·38.00
Matchbook
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap?

The Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap is off at 16:50 on 4 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:50 Curragh?

1m4f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:50 Curragh?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:50 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Sinbad My Dad (score 45.4, best price 8.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:50 Curragh?

The market favourite is It's Good To Talk at a best price of 1.05. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Sinbad My Dad.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org