18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 1h 19m15:45Uttoxeter

14:10 Killarney

Ireland

Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Hurdle · Good · 16 runners · €6,000 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 11 · score 57.8 · +3.7 clear of next best · best 250/1·300.00
Best value vs consensus
27·27.00 Matchbook · +20% vs fair (consensus 22.48)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.1/100 rating
Granlahan
7.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/4 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Penny ExpressDiffers from our pick

Penny Express looks the call in this 16-runner Killarney contest over 17 furlongs on good ground, with a progressive profile and a more solid book of form than the top-rated runner, Big Dee. Only two pounds separate them on our figures, so Penny Express is hardly giving much away, and his consistency is the key to the case. Big Dee is the obvious danger on raw ability, while Bryson and Regards To Rose, both on 97, sit a few pounds back and could make the frame if the principals falter. Penny Express is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

St Anthonys Corner

Mr E M Nugent(7) · Norman Lee · 6yo

Top-rated of 19
score 57.8 · +3.7 clear of next best (54.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    Norman Lee: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83
  • Form20% weight
    1weak
    Last 6: 0-9-0-0-P
MarketBest price 300.00 (Smarkets) · 19th in the market of 19.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
11
J: Mr E M Nugent(7) · T: Norman Lee · draw 0
6yo · M · brpOnly ride
0900P
8357.8100/1·121.37300·300.00
Smarkets · +147% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
6yo · G · bt
P45430
10054.125/1·25.4722·22.00
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
10
4yo · G · bOnly pairing
362422
8452.17/1·8.246/1·7.00
BetWright · -15% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 27/138 (20%)
5yo · G · b
7604
9348.73/1·3.943·3.00
Matchbook · -24% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
6yo · G · bhOnly pairing
U2670
9347.228/1·31.4740·40.00
Matchbook · +27% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
16
J: Danny Power(7) · T: Sean Aherne · draw 0
9yo · G · chpOnly rideOnly runner
804P5
7246.422/1·22.4827·27.00
Matchbook · +20% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Daniel King · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%)
5yo · G · brtFT TOnly pairing
78520
8946.017/2·9.7410·10.00
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Simon Torrens · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
7yo · M · btOnly ride
18987
9745.733/1·34.4638·38.00
Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
14
J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: Paul Cashman · draw 0
7yo · M · bOnly runner
00040
7445.633/1·34.4650/1·51.00
Virgin Bet · +48% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
17
J: Sean Flanagan · T: David M O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 1/7 (14%)
6yo · M · bOnly runner
2585U
9445.240/1·38.9660·60.00
Matchbook · +54% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
8
6yo · G · btOn last winning markGoing 1/4
60415
8544.77/1·8.246.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
13
J: Conor Clarke(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%)
7yo · M · bOnly ride
6325F
7542.118/1·19.4819.5·19.50
Betfair Exchange
Compare 29 books ▾
1
7yo · G · bhOnly pairing
03PP7
9741.940/1·38.9650/1·51.00
LiveScore Bet · +31% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: Ricky Doyle · T: Martin Brassil · draw 0
5yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
005P
9341.328/1·31.4722/1·23.00
Star Sports · -27% vs fair
Compare 23 books ▾
6
J: Phillip Enright · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 0 · combo 0/19 (0%)
5yo · G · bt
890P9
9139.566/1·61.43110·110.00
Matchbook · +79% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: · T: Gillian Scott · draw 0
9yo · M · bOnly runner
1930
8235.733/1·34.4625/1·26.00
Coral · -25% vs fair
Compare 22 books ▾
12
J: Michael Kenneally(5) · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
10yo · G · btpFT TPOnly pairing
73FP0
7635.680/1·76.4290·90.00
Betfair Exchange · +18% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
9
12yo · M · btpOnly runner
18770
8435.5100/1·100.39240·240.00
Matchbook · +139% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
15
J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 1/41 (2%)
7yo · G · ch
09069
7434.866/1·61.4390·90.00
Smarkets · +47% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–29 bookmakers per horse with the 50% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle?

The Gortnavogue Ltd. T/A Seamus Weldon Handicap Hurdle is off at 14:10 on 4 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:10 Killarney?

2m1f, Hurdle, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:10 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:10 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is St Anthonys Corner (score 57.8, best price 300.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:10 Killarney?

The market favourite is Colin's Friend at a best price of 3.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — St Anthonys Corner.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org