15:20 Killarney

Off in 1h 24mIreland

Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle

2m7f · Hurdle · Good · 13 runners · €6,000 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Political Stance

No. 9 · score 54.5 · +1.4 clear of next best · best 25/1·27.00

Best value vs consensus

Prophetess Miriam

25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair (consensus 22.06)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.9/100 rating

Coolboy Christy

12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Good WorldDiffers from our pick

Good World shares the top rating of 105 with James The Brave, and the fitness edge is what separates them, which makes our selection the one to be on in this 14-runner Killarney contest over 23 furlongs on good ground. Being fitter should count for a lot in a stamina test like this, and with nothing to choose between the pair on our figures, that sharpness tips it his way. James The Brave is the chief danger, while It's Not His Fault (101) and Coolboy Christy (100) are only a few pounds behind and sit within reach if Good World is below his best. The selection is Good World.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Political Stance

Tom Kelly(7) · C Byrnes · 6yo

Top-rated of 14

score 54.5 · +1.4 clear of next best (53.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63average
C Byrnes: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
Ratings50% weight
59average
OR 89
Form20% weight
11weak
Last 6: 7-2-P-0-0

MarketBest price 27.00 (Matchbook) · 12th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
1Good World 7Inchidaly Copper 10Prophetess Miriam Monntie
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(6)
2It's Not His Fault 4Coolboy Christy 5Lakewood Rose 9Political Stance 11Ballyminnion Boy 14Tedworth
Unknown(4)
3James The Brave 8King's Son 12Blackwater Soldier 13Mane Attraction

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
9	Political StancePick J: Tom Kelly(7) · T: C Byrnes · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%) 6yo · G · chtpFT TP	72P00	11-03	89	—	—	54.5	33/1·31.72	27·27.00 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00
8	King's Son J: Philip Donovan · T: Seamus Neville · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 6yo · G · bOnly pairing	36675	11-03	89	—	—	53.1	16/1·17.93	15.5·15.50 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Unibet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00
13	Mane Attraction J: Phillip Enright · T: Norman Lee · draw 0 6yo · G · bOnly pairing	8060	10-10	82	—	—	51.2	33/1·35.85	32·32.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook32·32.00Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00Smarkets29·29.00Betfair Exchange28·28.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Bet36525/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.0010 Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00
3	James The Brave J: Michael Kenneally(5) · T: Padraig Butler · draw 0 6yo · G · b	P13F1	11-11	97	—	—	50.6	10/3·4.23	4.3·4.30 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.3·4.30Matchbook4.3·4.30Smarkets4.2·4.20SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Spreadex9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Unibet85/40·3.13Hollywood Bets2/1·3.00Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88Paddy Power15/8·2.88 Bet Victor15/8·2.88
10	Prophetess Miriam J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 · combo 3/33 (9%) 6yo · M · bh	48998	11-02	88	—	—	47.9	22/1·22.06	25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Matchbook26·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetWright14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00
—	Monntie J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 1/41 (2%) 4yo · F · b	2455	11-07	95	—	—	47.7	20/1·20.68	14/1·15.00 Coral · -28% vs fair Compare 11 books ▾ Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Matchbook1.03·1.03
4	Coolboy Christy J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 · combo 2/35 (6%) 5yo · G · bp	484505	11-09	95	—	—	46.9	12/1·13.79	12·12.00 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Unibet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Betano17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50
1	Good World J: Peter Smithers(5) · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0 · combo 2/7 (29%) 11yo · G · bpOnly pairing	1P047	12-00	100	—	—	46.6	25/1·26.20	23·23.00 Matchbook · -12% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook23·23.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Betfred18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00
2	It's Not His Fault J: Sean Flanagan · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 0/9 (0%) 5yo · G · b	38000	11-11	97	—	—	43.4	20/1·20.68	18·18.00 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.0010 Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00
5	Lakewood Rose J: Miss N C Hennessy(7) · T: Miss Niamh Carol Hennessy · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	4377U	11-09	95	—	—	42.3	33/1·35.85	32·32.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook32·32.00Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00Smarkets29·29.00William Hill25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange26·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Betano22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00
7	Inchidaly Copper J: Luke Burke Ott(7) · T: Alexander Ott · draw 0 · combo 0/8 (0%) 10yo · G · chb	83P07	11-04	90	—	—	39.7	16/1·17.93	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00BetMGM12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Midnite12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfred11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00
14	Tedworth J: John Shinnick · T: Michael Barry · draw 0 6yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	4U74P4	10-09	81	—	—	39.1	13/2·7.58	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40Smarkets6.4·6.40Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet3655/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Betano9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50
11	Ballyminnion Boy J: Daniel King · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%) 6yo · G · bhOnly pairing	00806	11-00	86	—	—	38.9	12/1·13.10	11·11.00 Matchbook · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Bet36517/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00BetMGM8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50
12	Blackwater Soldier J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: David Richard Barry · draw 0 9yo · G · chtFT TOnly pairing	60098	10-10	82	—	—	37.1	17/2·9.65	9.2·9.20 Smarkets · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets9.2·9.20Matchbook9·9.00Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Betfred11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 11–28 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle?

The Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle is off at 15:20 on 4 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:20 Killarney?

2m7f, Hurdle, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:20 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:20 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Political Stance (score 54.5, best price 27.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:20 Killarney?

The market favourite is James The Brave at a best price of 4.30. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Political Stance.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org