17:05 Killarney

Ireland

Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase

2m7½f · Chase · Good · 15 runners · €6,000 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (15 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Keep Em Quite

No. 1 · score 55.1 · +2.1 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.00

Best value vs consensus

Ellens Pride

28·28.00 Matchbook · +25% vs fair (consensus 22.42)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.1/100 rating

Keep Em Quite

10.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Keep Em QuiteAgrees with our pick

Keep Em Quite rates 99 on our figures and gets the nod over the top-rated King Ferdinand (104) on the strength of a progressive profile, which counts for plenty in a stamina test like this 24-furlong contest on good ground. King Ferdinand is the obvious danger given his superior rating, while Avec Espoir (98) and Kilkee Bay (96) are bunched close behind our pick and cannot be dismissed in a 15-runner field. This is far from a straightforward puzzle, but Keep Em Quite's upward trajectory makes him the one to side with, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Keep Em Quite

Danny Gilligan · Cian Collins · 5yo

Top-rated of 15

score 55.1 · +2.1 clear of next best (52.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
67strong
OR 100 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
34weak
Last 6: 5-5-2-4-0
Trainer20% weight
33weak
Cian Collins: 2/16 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketBest price 10.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
1Keep Em Quite 6Cullenwaine 10It's Time Again 13Kilashee
Prominent(3)
2Nolans Rocco 12True Harmony 14Backinabit
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(7)
3Kilkee Bay 4King Ferdinand 5Barryroe Madam 7Ellens Pride 8Zolpharine 9Avec Espoir 15Urbs Intacta Manet
Unknown(1)
11Joe's Turn

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Keep Em QuitePick J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 · combo 3/33 (9%) 5yo · G · b	55240	12-00	100	—	—	55.1	10/1·10.55	10·10.00 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Bet3657/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50
7	Ellens Pride J: Phillip Enright · T: S Curling · draw 0 · combo 4/33 (12%) 6yo · M · btbOnly runner	4P7640	11-00	86	—	—	52.9	22/1·22.42	28·28.00 Matchbook · +25% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Coral18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 William Hill16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00
12	True Harmony J: J J Slevin · T: Seamus Neville · draw 0 6yo · G · bOnly pairing	92665	10-10	82	—	—	51.9	7/1·7.91	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -17% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50
3	Kilkee Bay J: Mr J Dunne(7) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%) 7yo · G · brbOnly ride	U8125U	11-08	94	—	—	50.8	10/1·10.55	9.2·9.20 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.2·9.20Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Midnite7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50
2	Nolans Rocco J: Michael Kenneally(5) · T: Padraig Butler · draw 0 7yo · M · bt	P21P7	11-10	96	—	—	49.1	12/1·13.19	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · +2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00BetTom17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Boyle Sports8/1·9.00
14	Backinabit J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 0 7yo · G · bpGoing 1/8Only runner	P18957	10-04	76	—	—	49.0	14/1·14.51	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00
6	Cullenwaine J: Alex Harvey · T: David O'Sullivan · draw 0 8yo · G · chbC&D	254127	11-00	86	—	—	48.1	8/1·9.23	9·9.00 Smarkets · -2% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets9·9.00SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Matchbook8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Betano11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50
8	Zolpharine J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 7/59 (12%) 8yo · G · btGoing 1/5Only pairing	114005	11-00	86	—	—	47.5	10/1·11.21	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Smarkets9.2·9.20Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Star Sports15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Betfred15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00
11	Joe's Turn J: Donagh Meyler · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 0 10yo · G · btOnly pairing	2F866	10-13	85	—	—	40.7	11/1·11.87	11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK Compare 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Matchbook12·12.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Unibet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00
13	Kilashee J: Kevin Healy(7) · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 11yo · M · bOnly ride	7PP7P	10-06	78	—	—	40.0	14/1·14.51	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets13·13.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00
5	Barryroe Madam J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: Terence O'Brien · draw 0 7yo · M · bhOnly runner	004050	11-00	86	—	—	38.4	22/1·22.42	21·21.00 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00
10	It's Time Again J: Jordan Gainford · T: David Richard Barry · draw 0 10yo · M · bpOnly pairing	0PF89P	10-13	85	—	—	37.5	33/1·36.27	42·42.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook42·42.00Smarkets38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Midnite28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Paddy Power28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00BetTom28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00William Hill25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00
4	King Ferdinand J: Eoin Walsh · T: Eugene M O'Sullivan · draw 0 10yo · G · btbFT TBOnly rideOnly runner	P0PP0	11-05	91	—	—	37.3	40/1·38.25	38·38.00 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00Smarkets36·36.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Paddy Power28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Bet36528/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00
9	Avec Espoir J: Philip Donovan · T: V T O'Brien · draw 0 13yo · G · chOnly runner	P00PP	10-13	85	—	—	36.8	80/1·88.37	80·80.00 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook80·80.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00BetMGM66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange29·29.00
15	Urbs Intacta Manet J: Jordan Canavan(7) · T: J P Flavin · draw 0 · combo 0/19 (0%) 5yo · G · baygreypOnly rideOnly runner	06088	10-04	76	—	—	35.6	28/1·29.02	28·28.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets24·24.00Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase?

The Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase is off at 17:05 on 4 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:05 Killarney?

2m7½f, Chase, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:05 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:05 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Keep Em Quite (score 55.1, best price 10.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:05 Killarney?

The market favourite is True Harmony at a best price of 6.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Keep Em Quite.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org