18:45 Kempton (AW)

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £6,281 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

French Affair

No. 2 · score 62.0 · +3.4 clear of next best · best 10/3·4.40

Best value vs consensus

Wyle Cop

30·30.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair (consensus 25.93)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way47.3/100 rating

Charlie Mason

13.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Charlie MasonDiffers from our pick

Charlie Mason is our selection, and his progressive profile earns him the nod even though he is rated just a pound behind the top-rated Tyger Bay on 87 against 88. At 6f on the Kempton all-weather, a progressive type is the one to side with when the leading ratings are this tightly packed. The main dangers are Tyger Bay, who is narrowly ahead on figures, along with French Affair, who shares Charlie Mason's rating of 87, and Mesaafi on 82. This looks an open contest, and a low-confidence call at that, but Charlie Mason is the one most likely to keep improving, so he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

French Affair

David Egan · Jennie Candlish · 3yo

Top-rated of 10

score 62.0 · +3.4 clear of next best (58.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
65strong
Jennie Candlish: 5/19 winners last 14d (26%)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 4-6-1-1-3-5
Ratings50% weight
54average
OR 81 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 4.40 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
4Wyle Cop
Prominent(4)
5Tyger Bay 6Buccabay 7Space Party 9Charlie Mason
Mid-division(1)
10Merrimack
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Fifty Nifty 2French Affair 3Mesaafi
Unknown(1)
8Shihoku

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.33

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.89

High (8–10)

IV 0.74

Today: Wyle Cop (draw 1) and Merrimack (draw 4) get the bias; Tyger Bay (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	French AffairPick J: David Egan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 7 3yo · G · bpFT PClass dropDOnly runner	461135	9-11	81	—	—	62.0	4/1·4.94	4.4·4.40 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook4.4·4.40Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20Smarkets4.1·4.10Bet3653/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets3/1·4.00Star Sports3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 BetMGM11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75William Hill11/4·3.75
4	Wyle Cop J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Jack Jones · draw 1 · combo 1/6 (17%) 3yo · G · bbOnly runner	355115	9-09	79	—	—	58.6	25/1·25.93	30·30.00 Matchbook · +16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Smarkets29·29.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Unibet16/1·17.00
10	Merrimack J: Chloe Lyons(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 4 · combo 4/18 (22%) 5yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner	231446	9-04	73	—	—	54.1	33/1·32.11	36·36.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook36·36.00Smarkets32·32.00Bet36528/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange29·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Paddy Power28/1·29.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00
7	Space Party J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 2 · combo 6/45 (13%) 3yo · G · b	323	9-07	77	—	—	47.4	16/1·16.05	14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00Matchbook13.5·13.50Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Spreadex12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange13·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00
9	Charlie Mason J: Kieren Fox · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 · combo 2/19 (11%) 5yo · G · bD	168063	9-04	73	—	—	47.3	16/1·16.05	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -19% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Matchbook13·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50
6	Buccabay J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3 · combo 19/181 (10%) 6yo · G · b	237357	9-07	76	—	—	47.2	7/2·4.63	4.3·4.30 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.3·4.30Smarkets4.1·4.10Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10 Bet3653/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Unibet5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50
5	Tyger Bay J: Joe Leavy · T: Conrad Allen · draw 8 9yo · G · btbDOnly pairing	192581	9-08	77	—	—	46.3	11/1·12.35	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +34% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Spreadex15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 BetWright7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50
1	Fifty Nifty J: Cieren Fallon · T: Martin Dunne · draw 10 · combo 3/5 (60%) 5yo · G · b/esDOnly runner	013528	9-11	80	—	—	45.7	7/1·8.03	7.8·7.80 Matchbook · -3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.8·7.80Smarkets7.6·7.60SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00
3	Mesaafi J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ross Burdon · draw 5 · combo 4/18 (22%) 5yo · G · bvClass drop1lb below win markOnly runner	140037	9-09	78	—	—	40.0	5/1·6.17	5.1·5.10 Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10Matchbook5.1·5.107Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Smarkets5·5.00BetMGM7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill3/1·4.00
8	Shihoku J: Oisin Orr · T: Phil McEntee · draw 9 5yo · G · btOnly runner	64708	9-06	75	—	—	34.2	50/1·50.63	50/1·51.00 Betfair Sportsbook Compare 27 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00Matchbook44·44.00Smarkets44·44.00Betfred40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betano40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)?

The Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II) is off at 18:45 on 5 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is French Affair (score 62.0, best price 4.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:45 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Buccabay at a best price of 4.30. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — French Affair.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org