19:45 Kempton (AW)

Racing TV Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 11 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 5 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Squashy Berry

No. 7 · score 43.1 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 20/1·22.00

Drawn 5, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Lady V

29·29.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 28.29)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way42.1/100 rating

Creciente

8.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Bessie WallisDiffers from our pick

Bessie Wallis heads our ratings on 61, four pounds clear of Creciente on 57, and that is enough to make her the call in an open-looking Class 6 contest over 7f at Kempton. The edge over the dangers is modest rather than decisive, with Creciente the chief threat, Who Is Alice only a point further back on 56 and Ridger on 53 also in the picture. Behind that quartet Leia Antilles (52) and Arc La Shari (51) are not far adrift, so Bessie Wallis only needs to run to her figure to be involved at the business end, even if confidence is low. Bessie Wallis is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Squashy Berry

Joe Leavy · Chris Dwyer · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 43.1 · +1.1 clear of next best (42.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=7)
Chris Dwyer: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
65strong
119d since last run (rusty)
Ratings50% weight
31weak
OR 46
Form20% weight
7weak
Last 6: 0-8-7-0

MarketBest price 22.00 (Smarkets) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 5 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(5)
1Bessie Wallis 2Arc La Shari 3Creciente 4Who Is Alice 9Poetic Grace
Prominent(1)
7Squashy Berry
Mid-division(1)
11Miss Gold
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Ridger 6Lady V 8Mokata 10Leia Antilles

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.05

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.17

High (9–11)

IV 0.80

Today: Squashy Berry (draw 5) and Creciente (draw 7) get the bias; Ridger (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	Squashy BerryPick J: Joe Leavy · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 5 3yo · G · bpFT POnly runner	0870	9-00	46	—	—	43.1	22/1·22.90	22·22.00 Smarkets · -4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets22·22.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40
3	Creciente J: David Egan · T: Rod Millman · draw 7 3yo · F · bpDOnly pairing	461238	9-08	54	—	—	42.1	8/1·8.76	8.2·8.20 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.2·8.20Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80
4	Who Is Alice J: George Bass · T: Grace Harris · draw 1 3yo · F · bhOnly runner	655305	9-07	53	—	—	40.8	16/1·17.51	27·27.00 Matchbook · +54% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70
5	Ridger J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10 · combo 3/33 (9%) 3yo · G · btD	997231	9-07	47	—	—	37.8	6/5·2.18	4/6·1.67 Bet365 · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3654/6·1.67 Bet Victor4/6·1.67 Betano4/6·1.67 Boyle Sports4/6·1.67 Betfair Exchange1.66·1.66Matchbook1.66·1.66Smarkets1.63·1.63Hollywood Bets5/8·1.63Betfred8/13·1.62 Ladbrokes8/13·1.62 SportingIndex8/13·1.62 Spreadex8/13·1.62 LiveScore Bet8/13·1.62Virgin Bet8/13·1.62Midnite8/13·1.62 7Bet8/13·1.62 SmarketsSBK8/13·1.62 Coral8/13·1.61 BetWright8/13·1.61 Dragon Bet8/13·1.61 Star Sports8/13·1.61 BetMGM4/7·1.57Betfair Sportsbook4/7·1.57Paddy Power4/7·1.57 William Hill4/7·1.57 Quinn Bet4/7·1.57 Unibet4/7·1.57 BetTom4/7·1.57
6	Lady V J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Charlie Pike · draw 4 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	68698	9-01	47	—	—	34.5	28/1·28.29	29·29.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook29·29.00Smarkets28·28.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00
8	Mokata J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 2 · combo 2/25 (8%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	059767	9-00	43	—	—	33.5	25/1·25.59	38·38.00 Matchbook · +49% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00Smarkets34·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.007Bet18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange6·6.00
9	Poetic Grace J: Cieren Fallon · T: Conrad Allen · draw 11 3yo · F · bbOnly pairing	435564	9-00	43	—	—	31.4	7/1·8.08	12·12.00 Matchbook · +49% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Paddy Power7/1·8.00 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 William Hill9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50
1	Bessie Wallis J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6 · combo 1/45 (2%) 3yo · F · b	554487	9-09	55	—	—	30.5	28/1·28.29	28·28.00 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00
2	Arc La Shari J: Oisin Orr · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 8 3yo · F · bt	36070	9-09	55	—	—	30.0	25/1·25.59	18/1·19.00 Coral · -26% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00SportingIndex18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Spreadex18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Smarkets17·17.00Boyle Sports16/1·17.00Matchbook16·16.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50
10	Leia Antilles J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 9 · combo 6/45 (13%) 3yo · F · ch	874567	9-00	40	—	—	28.0	33/1·35.02	65·65.00 Matchbook · +86% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Smarkets36·36.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
11	Miss Gold J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: David Flood · draw 3 3yo · F · btOnly runner	09988	9-00	38	—	—	25.8	40/1·39.06	70·70.00 Matchbook · +79% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook70·70.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Smarkets46·46.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power35/1·36.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing TV Handicap Stakes?

The Racing TV Handicap Stakes is off at 19:45 on 5 October 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:45 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 6, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:45 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:45 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Squashy Berry (score 43.1, best price 22.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:45 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Ridger at a best price of 1.67. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Squashy Berry.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org