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15:05 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Good · 16 runners · €6,000 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 55.0 · +0.2 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way55.0/100 rating
Tropical Twist
11.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Sea Of DoubtDiffers from our pick

Sea Of Doubt is our selection, rated 98 and just four pounds behind the top-rated Annie's Angel, but we prefer her progressive profile and the more solid book of form behind her. In a competitive 16-runner contest over 16 furlongs on good ground, a rising type with consistent form is the safer angle than the top-rated. Annie's Angel is the obvious danger at 102, with Teagarden Jazz on 100 narrowly ahead of our selection, and Tropical Twist on 95 is capable of making the frame if things drop right. This is a tricky puzzle and confidence is low, but Sea Of Doubt is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tropical Twist

Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott · 5yo

Top-rated of 18
score 55.0 · +0.2 clear of next best (54.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    66strong
    OR 99 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    37below average
    Last 6: 5-4-1-8-6
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Gordon Elliott: 4/47 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 11.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 6th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
5yo · M · bpFT PGoing 1/5Only pairing
54186
9955.012/1·13.3510/1·11.00
SmarketsSBK · -18% vs fair
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3
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
5yo · M · bt
336022
9754.87/1·7.856.6·6.60
Smarkets · -16% vs fair
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1
6yo · M · brtGoing 1/8
32U641
10054.011/2·6.284.8·4.80
Smarkets · -24% vs fair
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7
7yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
0P036
9053.022/1·23.5622·22.00
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
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11
6yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
58764
8252.722/1·23.5622·22.00
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
10
J: Alex Harvey · T: Thomas Coyle · draw 0
5yo · M · b
08665
8251.514/1·14.1410.5·10.50
Smarkets · -26% vs fair
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4
4yo · F · gtpOnly runner
25458
9651.433/1·36.1325/1·26.00
BetWright · -28% vs fair
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15
6yo · M · chOnly runner
088U
7746.750/1·53.4140/1·41.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
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5
J: Conor Brassil(3) · T: Martin Brassil · draw 0
6yo · M · btpOnly rideOnly runner
02948
9443.718/1·18.8512/1·13.00
BetWright · -31% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: Sam Ewing · T: Mark Fahey · draw 0
8yo · M · btOnly pairing
P5P40
8942.914/1·14.1411·11.00
Smarkets · -22% vs fair
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6
J: Sean Flanagan · T: Peter Maher · draw 0
8yo · M · btpFT TPOnly runner
792F0
9441.822/1·23.5623·23.00
Smarkets · -2% vs fair
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9
6yo · M · bOnly runner
6820F
8741.114/1·15.719/1·10.00
Bet365 · -36% vs fair
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12
5yo · M · bhtFT HT
830876
8240.833/1·32.9923·23.00
Matchbook · -30% vs fair
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—
J: · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0
7yo · M · b
325F6
7538.912/1·12.578.6·8.60
Smarkets · -32% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
13
J: Mr E M Nugent(7) · T: Barry T Murphy · draw 0
8yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
F0877
8037.440/1·45.5528/1·29.00
Unibet · -36% vs fair
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—
J: · T: R Donohoe · draw 0
7yo · M · bOnly runner
PF909
8736.625/1·26.7020/1·21.00
Midnite · -21% vs fair
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14
7yo · M · bbFT BOnly runner
0500
8036.450/1·53.4140/1·41.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
16
J: Mike O'Connor · T: R K Watson · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
00770
7633.250/1·53.4140/1·41.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 57% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle?

The Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle is off at 15:05 on 5 October 2026 at Fairyhouse (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:05 Fairyhouse?

2m, Hurdle, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:05 Fairyhouse?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:05 Fairyhouse?

The AI top-rated runner is Tropical Twist (score 55.0, best price 11.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:05 Fairyhouse?

The market favourite is Sea Of Doubt at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Tropical Twist.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org