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13:00 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

1m · Flat · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners · €10,800 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 13 · score 43.8 · +10.3 clear of next best · best 10/3·4.40

Drawn 5, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way32.5/100 rating
Miss Cornelia
13.00Quinn Bet
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Wecouldavehaditall

Nathan Crosse · Daniel McLoughlin · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 43.8 · +10.3 clear of next best (33.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    29weak
    Last 6: 9-0-7-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Daniel McLoughlin: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 4.40 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.24
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.12
High (10–13)
IV 0.63

Today: Wecouldavehaditall (draw 5) and Miss Cornelia (draw 4) get the bias; Magna Fortuna (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
13
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 5
2yo · F · browngreyOnly rideOnly runner
9073
6943.84/1·5.244.4·4.40
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
11
J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: P F McEnery · draw 11
2yo · F · bhOnly runner
000
4533.5200/1·210.87200/1·201.00
Bet365 · -5% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
—
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
670
6732.518/1·18.1512/1·13.00
Quinn Bet · -28% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
2
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 12
2yo · G · ch
68
—21.740/1·40.5040/1·41.00
Midnite
Compare 27 books ▾
9
2yo · F · btFT T
07
—20.033/1·36.3128/1·29.00
Ladbrokes · -20% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 10
2yo · C · b
65
—19.84/1·4.8910/3·4.33
Hollywood Bets · -11% vs fair
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4
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · chbFT B
05
—19.59/1·9.787/1·8.00
Ladbrokes · -18% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 7
2yo · G · chb
83
—18.712/1·13.9610/1·11.00
Ladbrokes · -21% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
6
J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 8
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
08
—17.825/1·26.5323·23.00
Smarkets · -13% vs fair
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7
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 6
2yo · C · bOnly runner
07
—16.066/1·71.2250/1·51.00
Bet365 · -28% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
10
J: W. J. Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 9
2yo · F · btFT T
56
—13.24/1·5.244·4.00
Matchbook · -24% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
2yo · F · bOnly runner
98
—10.214/1·15.3612/1·13.00
Paddy Power · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
2yo · C · chOnly pairing
00
—10.0100/1·93.5680/1·81.00
Dragon Bet · -13% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–27 bookmakers per horse with the 40% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden is off at 13:00 on 5 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:00 Killarney?

1m, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:00 Killarney?

Going is reported as Yielding To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:00 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Wecouldavehaditall (score 43.8, best price 4.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:00 Killarney?

The market favourite is Heart Of You at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Wecouldavehaditall.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org