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14:10 Killarney

Ireland

Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap

1m · Flat · Yielding To Soft · 12 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 52.6 · +0.8 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50
Best value vs consensus
22·22.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 19.41)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.6/100 rating
Suir Monad
5.50Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.13 · 1/4 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Suir MonadAgrees with our pick

Suir Monad heads our ratings on 82, a clear five pounds better than Cladach and Star Strewn on 77, and that margin gives him the edge in a competitive 12-runner contest over eight furlongs on soft ground. Cladach and Star Strewn are the obvious dangers, with Down The Glen only a pound further back on 76, so there is little room for error. The rest of the field look to have plenty to find on our figures, and Suir Monad's superior rating makes him the one to beat. Suir Monad is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Suir Monad

Sam Coen(5) · A. Slattery · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 52.6 · +0.8 clear of next best (51.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 4-4-3-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    A. Slattery: 7/39 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.12
High (9–12)
IV 0.63

Today: Sherekiya (draw 2) and Roaming Coyote (draw 4) get the bias; Suir Monad (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A. Slattery · draw 9 · combo 5/24 (21%)
3yo · G · gOnly pairing
44343
6952.611/2·6.479/2·5.50
Hollywood Bets · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
2
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 12/132 (9%)
3yo · G · bpFT POnly ride
908322
6951.87/2·4.5311/4·3.75
Ladbrokes · -17% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: C W J Farrell · draw 12
3yo · F · btDOnly runner
18971
7544.318/1·19.4122·22.00
Matchbook · +13% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
6
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 2 · combo 12/106 (11%)
3yo · F · b
54738
6742.417/2·9.709.2·9.20
Smarkets · -5% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 8 · combo 27/156 (17%)
3yo · F · b
6477
6842.010/1·11.0014·14.00
Matchbook · +27% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 5 · combo 0/29 (0%)
3yo · G · gOnly runner
64037
6940.712/1·12.9410/1·11.00
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
9
J: Ben Coen · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 4
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
76203
6238.511/1·12.2911.5·11.50
Smarkets · -6% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
7
J: W. J. Lee · T: K J Condon · draw 3 · combo 3/36 (8%)
3yo · G · g
52477
6638.116/1·16.8215.5·15.50
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 6 · combo 0/29 (0%)
3yo · G · btOnly runner
246860
6232.733/1·33.6446·46.00
Matchbook · +37% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
10
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1 · combo 13/129 (10%)
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
099
6031.540/1·43.9946·46.00
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
11
3yo · G · bOnly runner
070
5828.840/1·43.9995·95.00
Matchbook · +116% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
12
J: Rory Cleary · T: John James Feane · draw 7
3yo · G · bOnly runner
7090
4825.211/1·11.6520·20.00
Matchbook · +72% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap?

The Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap is off at 14:10 on 5 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:10 Killarney?

1m, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:10 Killarney?

Going is reported as Yielding To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:10 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Suir Monad (score 52.6, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:10 Killarney?

The market favourite is Cladach at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Suir Monad.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org