Who won the 18:30 Southwell (AW) on 6 October 2026?
Engraved (GB) won the 18:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by James Fanshawe.
18:30 Southwell (AW)
bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 14 runners · £6,480 · Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stEngraved (GB)Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndGeometry (GB)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 0.1 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdUnerring (IRE)Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 0.2 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 27.71s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Engraved (GB))
“In the pack's midst early - cruised into contention 2f out - hit the front over 1f out - pressed from either flank inside the last 110yds - kept battling with urgency - grabbed the verdict on the line in a photo”
AI top-rated Ten Clarets (score 52.5) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way30.0/100 rating
Geometry
7.00Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Ten Clarets
Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 2yo
Top-rated of 14
score 52.5 · +19.5 clear of next best (33.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight43below averageLast 6: 4-2-3-3-9
- Trainer20% weight43below averageK. R. Burke: 8/47 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 17.00 (Smarkets) · 7th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.96
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | 28 | — | 33.0 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 3 | — | 30.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 13 | J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 2yo · C · bhFT H | — | — | 30.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 46 | — | 17.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: David Allan · T: James Tate · draw 10 2yo · G · bp | 57 | — | 18.5 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Hector Crouch · T: James Tate · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 3 | — | 28.0 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13 2yo · C · b | 30 | — | 15.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 25.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2 2yo · C · ch | — | — | 26.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 12 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 9 2yo · G · bp | 42339 | 76 | 52.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 12 | 4 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 14 2yo · C · b | 95 | — | 17.9 | 500/1·501.00 SP |
| 13 | 2 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 12 2yo · G · b | 98 | — | 11.7 | 500/1·501.00 SP |
| — | 14 | J: Jack Callan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 7 | — | 16.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Ten Clarets) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Engraved (GB) (3.75), 2. Geometry (GB) (15.00), 3. Unerring (IRE) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 27.71s.
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