Who won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) on 6 October 2026?
Popular Dream (GB) won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Joanna Mason. Trained by Derek Shaw.
19:30 Southwell (AW)
bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stPopular Dream (GB)Joanna Mason·Derek Shaw11/8F·2.38SP
- 2ndCrypto Quest (IRE)Mikkel Mortensen·Scott Dixon·beaten 1.75 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdKohana Girl (IRE)Marco Ghiani·J. R. Jenkins·beaten 0.3 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
57.97s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Popular Dream (GB))
“Raced just behind the front pair - shaken up over 1f out - hit front approaching final furlong and drew clear to win”
AI top-rated Khabib (score 47.4) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way39.6/100 rating
Age of Time
10.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Popular Dream
Popular Dream heads our ratings on 63, a clear three pounds ahead of Age of Time on 60, and that edge makes him the one to beat in this Class 6 sprint at Southwell. Over 5f on standard going he is the top-rated runner in a modest field of eleven, and he looks the most solid option on what we have. Age of Time is the chief danger, while Crypto Quest and Khabib, both on 56, are next best and could pick up the pieces if the leader is vulnerable. Popular Dream gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Khabib
Cian Horgan(5) · Ray Craggs · 8yo
Top-rated of 11
score 47.4 · +7.8 clear of next best (39.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Ray Craggs: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
- Form20% weight33weakLast 6: 9-8-9-7-4-3
MarketBest price 3.95 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.09
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.96
High (9–11)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Derek Shaw · draw 9 6yo · G · b | 668945 | 55 | 30.3 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Mikkel Mortensen(5) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 5 7yo · G · b | 23067 | 53 | 29.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 7 5yo · M · b | 8055 | 45 | 29.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Clifford Lee · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 11 5yo · G · b | 97724 | 48 | 32.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 323598 | 55 | 39.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Ray Craggs · draw 1 8yo · G · bp | 989743 | 52 | 47.4 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: George Wood · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 6 6yo · G · chv | 537705 | 43 | 36.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: William Carver · T: Ross Burdon · draw 3 3yo · F · ch | 930693 | 51 | 29.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 4 3yo · F · bt | 470573 | 46 | 31.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2 5yo · G · bb | 45500 | 41 | 23.3 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Robert Cowell · draw 10 6yo · G · bp | 448666 | 44 | 25.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Khabib) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Popular Dream (GB) (2.38), 2. Crypto Quest (IRE) (34.00), 3. Kohana Girl (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 57.97s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org