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RacingAlpha

18:30 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)

1m · Flat · Standard · 7 runners · €15,000 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40
  1. 1st
    Golden Ring (IRE)AI top pick · 30.5
    W. M. Lordan·Aidan O'Brien
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    State Of Clarity (IRE)
    Nathan Crosse·Mrs J. Harrington·beaten 4 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lady Chancalot (FR)
    James Ryan·Jack W Davison·beaten 1.75 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 41.15s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way26.5/100 rating
Somebody Loves Me
6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Golden Ring

W. M. Lordan · Aidan O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 30.5 · +4.0 clear of next best (26.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Aidan O'Brien: 9/40 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 7-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.66 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.04
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.11
High (6–7)
IV 0.86

Today: Golden Ring (draw 5) and Drumbinion Lass (draw 4) get the bias; Knightlight (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 440 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · F · b
73
—30.5
2/5F·1.40
SP
27
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 3
2yo · F · b
——20.0
20/1·21.00
SP
35
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 6
2yo · F · b
9
—9.7
33/1·34.00
SP
42
J: Adam Caffrey · T: T G McCourt · draw 4
2yo · F · b
——25.0
66/1·67.00
SP
51
J: W. J. Lee · T: D K Weld · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——19.5
7/2·4.50
SP
66
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——26.5
13/2·7.50
SP
74
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 7
2yo · F · b
——18.0
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Dundalk (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Golden Ring (IRE) won the 18:30 Dundalk (AW) at SP 1.40. Ridden by W. M. Lordan. Trained by Aidan O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Dundalk (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Golden Ring, won the race (AI score 30.5).

What were the placings in the 18:30 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Golden Ring (IRE) (1.40), 2. State Of Clarity (IRE) (21.00), 3. Lady Chancalot (FR) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 41.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org