Who won the 13:29 Nottingham on 7 October 2026?
Castlerock Girl (IRE) won the 13:29 Nottingham at SP 3.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Clive Cox.
13:29 Nottingham
Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stCastlerock Girl (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox2/1·3.00SP
- 2ndCalifornian Angel (GB)AI top pick · 47.6David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 2.75 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdCartography (IRE)Gina Mangan·Dr Richard Newland·beaten 2 lengths50/1·51.00SP
Race time
1m 15.34s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Castlerock Girl (IRE))
“Made all the running - niggled along when challenged 2f out - quickened away inside final furlong for an easy win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.6/100 rating
Californian Angel
8.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Californian Angel
David Probert · Hugo Palmer · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 47.6 · +14.6 clear of next best (33.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong33d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 3-6-2
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight15weakHugo Palmer: 2/32 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 8.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.90
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–8)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 2 | — | 31.1 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 2yo · F · bt | 362 | 75 | 47.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 7 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 2yo · F · b | — | — | 19.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 19.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Molly Keegan-Price(7) · T: Tom Clover · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 57 | — | 33.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 1 2yo · F · ch | — | — | 22.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 2yo · F · b | — | — | 23.5 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:29 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Californian Angel) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 13:29 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Castlerock Girl (IRE) (3.00), 2. Californian Angel (GB) (6.00), 3. Cartography (IRE) (51.00).
What was the winning time for the 13:29 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 15.34s.
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