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RacingAlpha

13:45 Navan

Ireland

Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden

6f · Flat · Yielding · 21 runners · €9,600 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Layla Belle (IRE)
    Ben Coen·Daniel McLoughlin
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Miss Mona Keeba (IRE)
    Andrew Slattery·A. Slattery·beaten 0.1 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Marcescence (IRE)
    G. F. Carroll·Gavin Cromwell·beaten 1.25 lengths
    3/1C·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.88s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Layla Belle (IRE))

“Prominent early - niggled on wide run over 2f out then urged into 6th over 1f out - strong finish inside final furlong to hit front near the line - won”

AI top-rated Destiny Calls (score 32.1) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way24.5/100 rating
Miss Mona Keeba
8.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Destiny Calls

Julian Pietropaolo(7) · Michael Butler · 2yo

Top-rated of 21
score 32.1 · +7.1 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    Michael Butler: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    11weak
    Last 6: 6-9
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 101.00 (Virgin Bet) · 8th in the market of 21.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.11
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.77
High (15–21)
IV 1.10

Today: Direct Action (draw 3) and Always Changing (draw 1) get the bias; Destiny Calls (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 17
2yo · F · b
6
—18.5
9/1·10.00
SP
214
J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 8
2yo · F · b
——24.5
5/1·6.00
SP
313
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 15
2yo · F · b
3
—22.5
3/1C·4.00
SP
416
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 14
2yo · F · b
——24.5
50/1·51.00
SP
520
2yo · F · g
5
—21.5
9/1·10.00
SP
64
J: Jamie Powell · T: Derek McCormack · draw 3
2yo · C · b
——25.0
14/1·15.00
SP
711
2yo · F · chhFT H
33
—22.5
3/1C·4.00
SP
817
2yo · F · b
69
—32.1
28/1·29.00
SP
93
J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Diego Dias · draw 19
2yo · G · ch
8
—12.0
3/1C·4.00
SP
1019
J: Nathan Crosse · T: K J Condon · draw 12
2yo · F · b
7
—13.0
66/1·67.00
SP
112
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 1
2yo · G · b
——17.0
80/1·81.00
SP
1210
2yo · F · brhFT H
0
—14.0
200/1·201.00
SP
1318
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: John McConnell · draw 10
2yo · F · b
60
—12.8
200/1·201.00
SP
1415
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Noel Meade · draw 21
2yo · F · br
——19.5
80/1·81.00
SP
158
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 20
2yo · G · ch
7
—22.5
40/1·41.00
SP
1621
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 16
2yo · F · b
——21.5
66/1·67.00
SP
177
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 2
2yo · G · b
00
—10.0
300/1·301.00
SP
189
J: Leigh Roche · T: W. McCreery · draw 18
2yo · F · b
8
—10.5
80/1·81.00
SP
196
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 7
2yo · G · br
98
—14.7
66/1·67.00
SP
205
J: James Ryan · T: Conor David Maxwell · draw 5
2yo · G · b
06
—12.7
250/1·251.00
SP
211
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Edward Lynam · draw 6
2yo · C · b
9
—11.2
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:45 Navan on 7 October 2026?

Layla Belle (IRE) won the 13:45 Navan at SP 10.00. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Daniel McLoughlin.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:45 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Destiny Calls) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 13:45 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Layla Belle (IRE) (10.00), 2. Miss Mona Keeba (IRE) (6.00), 3. Marcescence (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:45 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 12.88s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org