18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:45 Navan

Ireland

Navan Racing Festival Hospitality On Sale Now Nursery Handicap

6f · Flat · Yielding · 10 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Celestial Crown (IRE)
    Seamie Heffernan·J. P. Murtagh
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Prince Of Peppard (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J. P. Murtagh·beaten 0.1 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Docks (IRE)AI top pick · 49.9
    Chris Hayes·Paul W Flynn·beaten 4.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 13.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Celestial Crown (IRE))

“Sat just off the pace - 5th at halfway - shoved up the order over 2f out and made 3rd by 1f out - moved into 2nd over 100 yards out - stayed on strongly to hit the front near the line and win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way45.4/100 rating
Santo Parvenue
6.00BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Prince Of Peppard

Prince Of Peppard heads our ratings on 73, four pounds clear of The Drambling Man and Santo Parvenue on 69, and that gives him a worthwhile edge in a ten-runner sprint at Navan. The good to soft ground shouldn't undo that advantage, and he looks the one to beat over six furlongs. The Drambling Man and Santo Parvenue are the obvious dangers, with Celestial Crown only a pound further back on 68 and well capable of getting involved. Prince Of Peppard gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Docks

Chris Hayes · Paul W Flynn · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 49.9 · +3.9 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73small sample (n=7)
    Paul W Flynn: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
  • Form20% weight
    32weak
    Last 6: 9-0-0-2
MarketBest price 3.85 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.11
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.77
High (8–10)
IV 1.10

Today: Prince Of Peppard (draw 3) and Santo Parvenue (draw 2) get the bias; Celestial Crown (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 101 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 6
2yo · F · b
278788
6637.9
10/1·11.00
SP
21
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 3
2yo · C · bp
96742
6846.0
9/4F·3.25
SP
36
J: Chris Hayes · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 10
2yo · G · b
9002
5749.9
5/2·3.50
SP
43
2yo · G · bp
696903
6439.9
11/1·12.00
SP
54
2yo · G · br
44713
5945.4
4/1·5.00
SP
67
J: W. M. Lordan · T: M C Grassick · draw 4
2yo · F · bh
7005
5639.9
9/1·10.00
SP
79
2yo · C · bpFT P
060
4635.2
80/1·81.00
SP
88
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 8
2yo · F · b
0806
4828.0
11/1·12.00
SP
910
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
007505
4632.1
40/1·41.00
SP
105
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Charles Weld · draw 7
2yo · F · b
065
5830.7
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Navan on 7 October 2026?

Celestial Crown (IRE) won the 14:45 Navan at SP 11.00. Ridden by Seamie Heffernan. Trained by J. P. Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Docks) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Celestial Crown (IRE) (11.00), 2. Prince Of Peppard (IRE) (3.25), 3. Docks (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Navan?

The winning time was 1m 13.40s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org