14:50 Redcar

Off in 31m

Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Hostility

No. 1 · score 48.2 · +4.6 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00

Best value vs consensus

Tommo's Ginjaninja

16·16.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 14.20)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way48.2/100 rating

Hostility

7.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: KartiniDiffers from our pick

Kartini is our selection at Redcar, and the progressive profile is what sets her apart in a Class 5 over ten furlongs on good ground; she is a filly on an upward curve and rated 69, within a few pounds of the very best in the line-up. Alessia Fernanda (74) is the top-rated runner and Hostility (73) is only a pound behind her, so both have to be respected, while Lady Hornblower (67) sits close enough to Kartini to stay in the picture. Even so, the improvement Kartini has shown makes her the one to side with over these rivals, and she can get the better of a competitive contest. Kartini is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hostility

Conor Whiteley(5) · David O'Meara · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 48.2 · +4.6 clear of next best (43.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
53average
Last 6: 2-1-5-1-3-9
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 68 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
25weak
David O'Meara: 5/48 winners last 14d (10%)

MarketBest price 7.00 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
3Bay Dream Believer 4Lady Hornblower 5Recobella 8Kitsune Power
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(5)
1Hostility 2Alessia Fernanda 6Kartini 7Tommo's Ginjaninja 9Eagles Dream

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.12

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.96

High (7–9)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	HostilityPick J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 3 4yo · G · bGoing 2/5	215139	10-00	68	—	—	48.2	13/2·7.69	7·7.00 Smarkets · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets7·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 7Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00
5	Recobella J: Kevin Stott · T: Philip Kirby · draw 7 5yo · M · chDGoing 2/3Only runner	251215	9-06	60	—	—	43.6	6/1·7.10	6.6·6.60 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Unibet11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40Matchbook6.4·6.40BetTom5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetMGM5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Spreadex5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50
8	Kitsune Power J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 7yo · G · bp2lb below win markDOnly ride	134006	9-01	55	—	—	43.4	11/1·11.83	11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Matchbook11.5·11.50Smarkets11.5·11.50LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Unibet9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00BetTom9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 10 Bet8/1·9.00
3	Bay Dream Believer J: Jason Hart · T: Mark Walford · draw 4 7yo · M · bhDGoing 1/6Only pairing	761533	9-09	63	—	—	41.8	9/1·10.06	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Star Sports15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Betfred7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00
4	Lady Hornblower J: Connor Beasley · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 5 3yo · F · bvC&DOnly runner	698371	9-08	66	—	—	41.3	3/1·4.02	3.75·3.75 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75Smarkets3.75·3.75Matchbook3.75·3.75SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Midnite5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50BetTom5/2·3.50 BetWright12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 William Hill85/40·3.12 Coral2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00
2	Alessia Fernanda J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2 6yo · M · chtOnly rideOnly runner	672676	9-13	67	—	—	37.7	12/1·13.01	14·14.00 Matchbook · +8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook14·14.00Smarkets13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00BetMGM10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00BetTom9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00
6	Kartini J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 8 4yo · F · grOnly runner	60654	9-04	58	—	—	35.0	9/1·10.06	11·11.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Spreadex8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetWright7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00
7	Tommo's Ginjaninja J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 6 3yo · G · ch	230940	9-03	61	—	—	34.6	14/1·14.20	16·16.00 Matchbook · +13% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook16·16.00Smarkets15·15.00Betfair Exchange15·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Spreadex12/1·13.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Star Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00
9	Eagles Dream J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 1 4yo · F · btFT TOnly pairing	88050	8-12	52	—	—	30.8	20/1·20.11	26·26.00 Matchbook · +29% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook26·26.00Betfair Exchange24·24.00Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.0010 Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 William Hill15/1·16.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 14:50 on 3 October 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:50 Redcar?

1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:50 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:50 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Hostility (score 48.2, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:50 Redcar?

The market favourite is Lady Hornblower at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hostility.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org