13:51 Thurles

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)

1m½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €15,000 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (16 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Dawnmore

No. 11 · score 61.4 · +15.7 clear of next best · best 9/4·3.25

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way19.2/100 rating

Postponing Reality

10.00Hollywood Bets

Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Dawnmore

Seamie Heffernan · J S Bolger · 2yo

Top-rated of 16

score 61.4 · +15.7 clear of next best (45.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
J S Bolger: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
61average
Last 6: 5-2-3
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 3.25 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
6Alone All Alone
Prominent(1)
11Dawnmore
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(8)
1Clash 3Postponing Reality 5Togetherwearefree 9Melchizedek 10Ah Sure Look 12King Christoph Lusted Handsoffshesmine
Unknown(6)
2Evan D Invincible 4Spectrolyte 7Battle Ready 8Dramatic Approach 13Lash La Rue 14Why Oh Why

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
11	DawnmorePick J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J S Bolger · draw 8 · combo 0/6 (0%) 2yo · C · b	523	9-01	80	—	—	61.4	3/1·3.88	3.25·3.25 Smarkets · -16% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.25·3.25Matchbook3.25·3.25Betfair Exchange3.2·3.20 SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00 Bet3657/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 Paddy Power7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75Hollywood Bets7/4·2.75William Hill7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Betfred7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 10 Bet7/4·2.75 BetMGM7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 Spreadex7/4·2.75 BetWright7/4·2.75 Bet Victor13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Midnite13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63
7	Battle Ready J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 1 · combo 2/53 (4%) 2yo · C · b	054	9-03	80	—	—	45.7	12/1·12.70	19·19.00 Matchbook · +50% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetMGM8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Betano7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00
—	Lusted J: · T: Josh Halley · draw 10 2yo · F · bpFT P	05767	8-08	73	—	—	37.8	50/1·47.99	40/1·41.00 Midnite · -15% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ Midnite40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.0010 Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00Matchbook7·7.00
12	King Christoph J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 5 · combo 10/144 (7%) 2yo · G · b	2	9-01	—	—	—	36.6	9/4·3.18	2.44·2.44 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets2.44·2.44Matchbook2.44·2.44Betfair Sportsbook11/8·2.38Paddy Power11/8·2.38 LiveScore Bet11/8·2.38Virgin Bet11/8·2.38SmarketsSBK11/8·2.38 Betfair Exchange2.38·2.38 Boyle Sports5/4·2.25 Ladbrokes5/4·2.25 Bet3655/4·2.25 William Hill5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 SportingIndex5/4·2.25 10 Bet5/4·2.25 BetWright5/4·2.25 Unibet5/4·2.25 Betano5/4·2.25Hollywood Bets5/4·2.25BetTom5/4·2.25 Dragon Bet5/4·2.25 Spreadex5/4·2.25 Coral5/4·2.25 Bet Victor5/4·2.25 Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 BetMGM5/4·2.25 Star Sports6/5·2.20 Midnite11/10·2.10
—	Handsoffshesmine J: · T: A. Slattery · draw 15 2yo · F · b	6	8-12	—	—	—	22.0	22/1·23.99	33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK · +42% vs fair Compare 20 books ▾ SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Coral16/1·17.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfred16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Matchbook7·7.00
2	Evan D Invincible J: Luke McAteer · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 2 2yo · G · bOnly runner	—	9-05	—	—	—	21.5	100/1·94.57	130·130.00 Matchbook · +38% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook130·130.00Bet36580/1·81.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00Smarkets65·65.00SmarketsSBK60/1·61.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00
9	Melchizedek J: Rory Cleary · T: M P Fogarty · draw 14 2yo · C · bOnly runner	00	9-03	—	—	—	20.0	200/1·177.84	300·300.00 Smarkets · +69% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets300·300.00Matchbook200·200.00Bet365150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook125/1·126.00Paddy Power125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets125/1·126.00BetTom125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 William Hill125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00Midnite125/1·126.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00
4	Spectrolyte J: Ben Coen · T: A. Slattery · draw 13 · combo 1/7 (14%) 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	98	9-04	—	—	—	19.7	40/1·40.93	75·75.00 Matchbook · +83% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets65·65.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Betfair Exchange38·38.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Star Sports25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00
3	Postponing Reality J: G. F. Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 7 · combo 4/91 (4%) 2yo · G · bpFT P	84	9-05	—	—	—	19.2	10/1·10.59	9/1·10.00 Hollywood Bets · -5% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Matchbook9.2·9.20William Hill8/1·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Bet3657/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50
13	Lash La Rue J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Noel Meade · draw 4 · combo 1/7 (14%) 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	—	8-13	—	—	—	19.0	50/1·47.99	65·65.00 Matchbook · +35% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Exchange30·30.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00
14	Why Oh Why J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: James Dowling · draw 9 2yo · F · bOnly runner	3	8-08	—	—	—	18.5	14/1·15.53	22·22.00 Matchbook · +42% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets20·20.00SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Unibet10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Betfred10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00
8	Dramatic Approach J: Nathan Crosse · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 11 · combo 0/31 (0%) 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	—	9-03	—	—	—	17.0	33/1·32.46	30·30.00 Matchbook · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Smarkets28·28.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Unibet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Spreadex20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00
5	Togetherwearefree J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 12 · combo 28/168 (17%) 2yo · F · b	0	9-04	—	—	—	16.5	50/1·47.99	40·40.00 Smarkets · -17% vs fair Compare 27 books ▾ Smarkets40·40.00BetMGM33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Matchbook34·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange26·26.00
1	Clash J: Chris Hayes · T: Josh Halley · draw 16 2yo · C · btOnly pairing	0	9-05	—	—	—	10.0	250/1·268.88	270·270.00 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook270·270.00Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.00LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Quinn Bet200/1·201.00Smarkets180·180.00Midnite150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00
6	Alone All Alone J: Gavin Ryan · T: E J O'Neill · draw 3 2yo · C · bOnly runner	09	9-03	—	—	—	7.8	250/1·283.70	550·550.00 Matchbook · +94% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook550·550.00Betfair Exchange310·310.00Smarkets300·300.00Bet365250/1·251.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.0010 Bet200/1·201.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00
10	Ah Sure Look J: Declan McDonogh · T: Martin Hassett · draw 6 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	0	9-01	—	—	—	7.0	150/1·142.56	190·190.00 Matchbook · +33% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook190·190.00Smarkets180·180.00Bet365125/1·126.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00BetTom100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00BetWright100/1·101.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–28 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series)?

The Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (Smullen Series) is off at 13:51 on 8 October 2026 at Thurles (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:51 Thurles?

1m½f, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:51 Thurles?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:51 Thurles?

The AI top-rated runner is Dawnmore (score 61.4, best price 3.25). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:51 Thurles?

The market favourite is King Christoph at a best price of 2.44. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Dawnmore.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org