18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:05 Tramore

Ireland

Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase

2m4½f · Chase · Yielding · 12 runners · €6,601 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 55.8 · +5.7 clear of next best · best 25/1·27.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way26.3/100 rating
Moonlight Paradise
8.50Coral
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: RattledelatchDiffers from our pick

Rattledelatch is our selection at Tramore, and he heads the field on our figures at 116, a full 8 lb clear of Kimy and Palace Boy, who share 108. That is a meaningful edge over a two-and-a-half-mile trip on good to soft, and it makes him the one to beat in a field of 13. Kimy and Palace Boy are the principal dangers, with Moonlight Paradise a further threat on 96, though the unrated Le Vent d'Ex adds some uncertainty. Rattledelatch looks the right horse to side with, and he is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hatfield Hammer

Jordan Gainford · Paul Nolan · 7yo

Top-rated of 13
score 55.8 · +5.7 clear of next best (50.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    65average
    OR 97 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Paul Nolan: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    25weak
    Last 6: 6-3-4-U-6
MarketBest price 27.00 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Jordan Gainford · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
7yo · G · bbOnly pairing
634U6
9755.828/1·29.9127·27.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
—
J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 19/119 (16%)
6yo · G · bp
15570
9050.140/1·44.2233/1·34.00
Boyle Sports · -23% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
6
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 10/112 (9%)
5yo · G · btp
6P100
9344.840/1·37.7175·75.00
Matchbook · +99% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
9
J: I. J. Power · T: John Queally · draw 0
5yo · G · bhOnly runner
96024
—30.315/8·2.862.46·2.46
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
13
J: Sean Flanagan · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0 · combo 3/10 (30%)
5yo · M · bbC&DOnly pairing
4P518
—26.310/1·11.0515/2·8.50
Coral · -23% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 · combo 2/44 (5%)
5yo · G · brb
00P11
—23.58/1·9.108.8·8.80
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 32/152 (21%)
5yo · G · bt
6P843
—21.117/2·9.759·9.00
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
11
J: Danny Mullins · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%)
6yo · M · bay f.Only runner
00930
—15.911/2·6.505.9·5.90
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
12
J: Brian Hayes · T: C A Murphy · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%)
5yo · M · brtOnly runner
36566
—14.911/1·12.3517.5·17.50
Matchbook · +42% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
10
J: Ross Berry(7) · T: J A Berry · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
9yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
68380
—12.066/1·66.32180·180.00
Smarkets · +171% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Philip Donovan · T: W J Lanigan · draw 0
6yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
74P0P
—11.4250/1·261.40210·210.00
Matchbook · -20% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Mike O'Connor · T: M Winters · draw 0
5yo · G · b
P000
—10.0250/1·261.40340·340.00
Matchbook · +30% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
9yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
0050U
—8.2150/1·131.35180·180.00
Matchbook · +37% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–28 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase?

The Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase is off at 17:05 on 8 October 2026 at Tramore (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:05 Tramore?

2m4½f, Chase, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:05 Tramore?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:05 Tramore?

The AI top-rated runner is Hatfield Hammer (score 55.8, best price 27.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:05 Tramore?

The market favourite is Rattledelatch at a best price of 2.46. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hatfield Hammer.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org