20:30 Southwell (AW)

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 8 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Enacting

No. 4 · score 61.2 · +3.3 clear of next best · best 22/1·24.00

Best value vs consensus

Jersey Maverick

34·34.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair (consensus 30.29)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way54.7/100 rating

Not That Guy

5.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: NostrumDiffers from our pick

Nostrum heads our ratings on 92, three pounds ahead of BillyB, and that narrow edge is enough to make him the one to beat in this 12-runner Southwell seven-furlong event. He looks the most likely to cope with the demands of the Class 4 company, and his standing at the top of our figures gives him a sound platform. BillyB is the chief danger on 89, while Prince of Pillo and Enacting, both on 86, are close enough to take advantage if Nostrum is not at his best. Nostrum gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Enacting

Jonny Peate · James Fanshawe · 4yo

Top-rated of 12

score 61.2 · +3.3 clear of next best (57.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
95very strong
James Fanshawe: 5/13 winners last 14d (38%)
Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 5-4-1
Ratings50% weight
51average
OR 77
Freshness10% weight
25weak
650d since last run (very long layoff)

MarketBest price 24.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
1Nostrum 2BillyB 6Montezin 10Not That Guy
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
9Supreme Clarets 11Jersey Maverick
Unknown(6)
3Aisling Oscar 4Enacting 5Elite Approach 7Prince of Pillo 8King of Ithaca 12War Howl

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.04

High (9–12)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	EnactingPick J: Jonny Peate · T: James Fanshawe · draw 12 · combo 2/15 (13%) 4yo · G · bhFT HOnly runner	541	9-09	77	—	—	61.2	25/1·25.02	24·24.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.0010 Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00
5	Elite Approach J: Finley Marsh · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 8 3yo · G · grGoing 1/2Only pairing	441	9-09	79	—	—	57.8	40/1·44.77	50·50.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets38·38.007Bet35/1·36.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00BetWright33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange34·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.0010 Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00
1	Nostrum J: Kevin Stott · T: Michael Appleby · draw 6 · combo 3/8 (38%) 6yo · G · bOn last winning markCOnly pairing	000521	10-03	80	—	—	55.2	9/4·3.13	2.6·2.60 Smarkets · -17% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets2.6·2.60Virgin Bet6/4·2.50LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 Ladbrokes6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50 Coral6/4·2.50 William Hill6/4·2.50Matchbook2.5·2.50Betfair Exchange2.48·2.48 Bet36511/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.38 Quinn Bet11/8·2.38 Paddy Power11/8·2.38Betfair Sportsbook11/8·2.38Betfred11/8·2.38Hollywood Bets69/50·2.38Boyle Sports11/8·2.38 BetTom11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.38 7Bet11/8·2.38 Unibet11/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 BetWright11/8·2.38 Bet Victor5/4·2.25 BetMGM5/4·2.25 Betano5/4·2.25 10 Bet6/5·2.20
10	Not That Guy J: Cieren Fallon · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10 · combo 0/7 (0%) 3yo · G · chtOnly pairing	521	9-02	72	—	—	54.7	9/2·5.27	5.8·5.80 Matchbook · +10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Smarkets5.7·5.70SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Spreadex7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 7Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Hollywood Bets10/3·4.33Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33Virgin Bet3/1·4.00BetTom3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50
9	Supreme Clarets J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1 · combo 0/20 (0%) 3yo · G · chDOnly pairing	224114	9-03	73	—	—	53.5	25/1·25.02	28·28.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange25·25.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00BetWright18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00Dragon Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00
8	King of Ithaca J: Rob Hornby · T: James Tate · draw 3 · combo 1/7 (14%) 6yo · G · bhOnly runner	645842	9-04	72	—	—	51.9	14/1·15.80	27·27.00 Matchbook · +71% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets25·25.00Betfair Exchange22·22.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00BetWright11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00
3	Aisling Oscar J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 7 · combo 11/90 (12%) 5yo · G · bp	744270	9-10	78	—	—	49.0	28/1·27.65	28·28.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00Smarkets27·27.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Star Sports22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Betfred20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00
2	BillyB J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Craig Lidster · draw 11 7yo · G · bpOnly pairing	870742	10-00	82	—	—	48.9	8/1·9.22	8.4·8.40 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.4·8.40Smarkets8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Midnite6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50
11	Jersey Maverick J: Aiden Brookes · T: Ben Haslam · draw 9 · combo 0/10 (0%) 4yo · G · bOnly ride	282345	9-01	69	—	—	45.8	28/1·30.29	34·34.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook34·34.00Smarkets30·30.00Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange28·28.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00BetWright25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Paddy Power22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00
6	Montezin J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 4 · combo 2/74 (3%) 4yo · G · btpDOnly runner	448510	9-09	77	—	—	41.6	10/1·11.19	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10·10.00Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Betano7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 7Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00
12	War Howl J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 2 · combo 6/74 (8%) 4yo · G · brOnly pairing	000973	8-13	67	—	—	40.2	28/1·27.65	28·28.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets27·27.00Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange24·24.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00
7	Prince of Pillo J: Harry Russell · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 · combo 1/14 (7%) 6yo · G · chOnly ride	96800	9-04	72	—	—	38.0	40/1·44.77	65·65.00 Matchbook · +45% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.0010 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes?

The Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes is off at 20:30 on 8 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Enacting (score 61.2, best price 24.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Nostrum at a best price of 2.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Enacting.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org