16:17 Musselburgh

Musselburgh Members Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th

1st
Jkr Cobbler (IRE)
Jack Nicholls·Iain Jardine
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
Real Jack (GB)
Sean Kirrane·Michael Dods·beaten 2.5 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP
3rd
Keep Me Stable (IRE)
David Allan·Linda Perratt·beaten .75 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP

Race time

1m 28.66s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Jkr Cobbler (IRE))

“Settled at back of field - short of room until angled left over 1f out - quickened powerfully inside final furlong - hit front inside final 110yds and pulled clear to score”

AI top-rated Monhammer (score 57.5) finished 7th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way57.5/100 rating

Monhammer

6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Monhammer

Monhammer is our selection at Musselburgh, and his progressive profile is the appeal in a tightly packed Class 6 seven-furlong contest on good to soft ground. He is rated 61, only a few pounds off the top-rated pair, so he doesn't have to improve much to get involved, and a horse on the upgrade can outrun a rating like that. Real Jack and Kelpie Grey, both on 66, are narrowly ahead on paper and are the main dangers, with Ramon di Loria on 62 also in the mix. This is a competitive heat with little to choose between many of them, but Monhammer's upward trend gives him the edge, so he is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Monhammer

Clifford Lee · Linda Perratt · 8yo

Top-rated of 11

score 57.5 · +10.0 clear of next best (47.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
Linda Perratt: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 6-1-1-6-3-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
12d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
39below average
OR 59 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.85

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.97

High (9–11)

IV 1.20

Today: Monhammer (draw 11) and Archangel Josepi (draw 10) get the bias; Mrbluesky (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Jkr Cobbler J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 7yo · G · b	341499	9-07	57	—	—	41.6	13/2·7.50 SP
2	4	Real Jack J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 3yo · G · b	567724	9-07	59	—	—	37.6	12/1·13.00 SP
3	9	Keep Me Stable J: David Allan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 3 6yo · M · b	237706	9-02	52	—	—	44.9	8/1·9.00 SP
4	10	Willowinghurn J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 3yo · F · bv	683840	9-01	53	—	—	38.3	16/1·17.00 SP
5	8	Archangel Josepi J: Sam James · T: Katie Scott · draw 10 3yo · G · br	37327	9-04	56	—	—	35.9	66/1·67.00 SP
6	2	Rwenearlytheredad J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 7 6yo · G · b	86502	9-08	58	—	—	33.4	4/1·5.00 SP
7	1	Monhammer J: Clifford Lee · T: Linda Perratt · draw 11 8yo · G · b	611631	9-09	59	—	—	57.5	9/2·5.50 SP
8	7	Ramon di Loria J: Shane Gray · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2 8yo · G · ch	363326	9-06	56	—	—	41.5	20/1·21.00 SP
9	5	Kelpie Grey J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 6yo · G · grv	077323	9-06	56	—	—	39.8	13/8F·2.62 SP
10	6	Pallas Lord J: Greg Fairley · T: Donald Whillans · draw 9 8yo · G · b	063740	9-06	56	—	—	30.5	80/1·81.00 SP
11	11	Mrbluesky J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	74800	8-11	47	—	—	47.5	125/1·126.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:17 Musselburgh on 12 October 2026?

Jkr Cobbler (IRE) won the 16:17 Musselburgh at SP 7.50. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by Iain Jardine.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:17 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Monhammer) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:17 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Jkr Cobbler (IRE) (7.50), 2. Real Jack (GB) (13.00), 3. Keep Me Stable (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:17 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 28.66s.

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