18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:00 Roscommon

Ireland

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)

7½f · Flat · Soft · 13 runners · €6,000 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 8/1·9.00
  1. 1st
    Cisterna (IRE)AI top pick · 43.7
    Jimmy Dalton·A. Slattery
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Big Bill (FR)
    Reese Holohan·Aidan Melia·beaten 5 lengths
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Movin And Groovin (IRE)
    Nathan Crosse·David Marnane·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 38.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Cisterna (IRE))

“Set the pace from the start - three lengths ahead 1f out - stayed on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way43.7/100 rating
Cisterna
10.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Brains

Brains is our selection, and the progressive profile gives him the edge in a tightly packed Roscommon contest over eight furlongs on soft ground. He is rated just a pound behind the top-rated Navagio on our figures, so that gap is negligible, and an upward trajectory can count for more than a narrow rating deficit in a 14-runner field. Navagio is the main danger as the narrowly top-rated runner, while Zabriskie Point and Cosmic Funk are on the same figure as Brains and cannot be dismissed. Brains gets the nod as the most likely to improve past them.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cisterna

Jimmy Dalton(7) · A. Slattery · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 43.7 · +3.0 clear of next best (40.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    A. Slattery: 9/47 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
  • Form20% weight
    24weak
    Last 6: 5-5-8-0-2-0
MarketBest price 10.50 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.26
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.09
High (11–14)
IV 0.64

Today: Cisterna (draw 2) and Big Bill (draw 1) get the bias; Little Miss P (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 2
3yo · G · b
558020
5843.7
8/1·9.00
SP
23
J: Reese Holohan(5) · T: Aidan Melia · draw 1
3yo · G · bp
60516
5940.3
7/2F·4.50
SP
311
J: Nathan Crosse · T: David Marnane · draw 3
4yo · F · b
75137
4537.2
9/1·10.00
SP
414
J: Leigh Roche · T: W. McCreery · draw 4
9yo · G · baybrownv
000084
3825.7
6/1·7.00
SP
55
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 6
5yo · G · bv
525753
5640.7
9/2·5.50
SP
64
J: Ben Coen · T: P J F Murphy · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
755644
5936.7
5/1·6.00
SP
71
J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: Aengus King · draw 10
6yo · M · bp
095870
5831.4
14/1·15.00
SP
812
J: W. M. Lordan · T: T J O'Mara · draw 11
6yo · G · brh
43695
4025.7
12/1·13.00
SP
98
J: W. J. Lee · T: Gillian Scott · draw 14
4yo · F · bp
078075
5235.8
16/1·17.00
SP
1013
9yo · G · baybrown
683740
3933.3
18/1·19.00
SP
112
J: Colin Keane · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 7
7yo · G · btp
060960
5832.9
14/1·15.00
SP
129
J: Wesley Joyce · T: K Smith · draw 13
3yo · F · g
851000
5127.0
66/1·67.00
SP
1310
J: Robert Whearty · T: P Cluskey · draw 8
3yo · F · b
0900
4823.2
125/1·126.00
SP
——
J: Shane Foley · T: R Donohoe · draw 9
10yo · G · btb
756334
5534.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Roscommon on 12 October 2026?

Cisterna (IRE) won the 15:00 Roscommon at SP 9.00. Ridden by Jimmy Dalton. Trained by A. Slattery.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Roscommon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cisterna, won the race (AI score 43.7).

What were the placings in the 15:00 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Cisterna (IRE) (9.00), 2. Big Bill (FR) (4.50), 3. Movin And Groovin (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Roscommon?

The winning time was 1m 38.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org