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RacingAlpha

15:30 Roscommon

Ireland

Boyle Maiden

1m2½f · Flat · Soft · 11 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4·2.75
  1. 1st
    Teoest (IRE)AI top pick · 61.1
    Colin Keane·J S Bolger
    7/4·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Saliba (IRE)
    Shane Foley·Mrs J. Harrington·beaten 2.75 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Navy Guitar (IRE)
    Adam Grant·Diego Dias·beaten 5.5 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
Race time
2m 22.29s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Teoest (IRE))

“Prominent in second - joined front-runner before the straight - edged ahead over 1f out when pushed - one length clear 1f out - stayed on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.4/100 rating
Saliba
13.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Teoest

Colin Keane · J S Bolger · 3yo

Top-rated of 13
score 61.1 · +5.4 clear of next best (55.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=8)
    J S Bolger: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 84 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 4-6-4-2
MarketBest price 3.00 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m2½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.96
High (10–13)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
J: Colin Keane · T: J S Bolger · draw 6
3yo · G · b
4642
8461.1
7/4·2.75
SP
29
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 2
3yo · G · b
36526
7947.4
6/1·7.00
SP
32
J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Diego Dias · draw 1
7yo · G · bt
584
7437.8
25/1·26.00
SP
412
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 12
6yo · M · b
80
—10.7
250/1·251.00
SP
56
J: W. J. Lee · T: A Oliver · draw 7
3yo · G · b
——20.0
25/1·26.00
SP
64
3yo · G · b
74352
7455.8
10/11F·1.91
SP
713
J: Jared Huggan(10) · T: Alan McIntyre · draw 9
3yo · F · b
0
—10.0
250/1·251.00
SP
87
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 13
3yo · G · bhFT H
3
—23.0
11/1·12.00
SP
95
J: R. P. Cleary · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
——15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
101
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Craig O'Neill · draw 10
4yo · G · ch
00
—20.0
250/1·251.00
SP
118
J: Luke McAteer · T: Jack Foley · draw 3
3yo · C · bbFT B
69
—12.1
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A. J. Martin · draw 5
7yo · G · cht
4
—21.5—
——
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 8
4yo · F · b
03
—15.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Roscommon on 12 October 2026?

Teoest (IRE) won the 15:30 Roscommon at SP 2.75. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by J S Bolger.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Roscommon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Teoest, won the race (AI score 61.1).

What were the placings in the 15:30 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Teoest (IRE) (2.75), 2. Saliba (IRE) (7.00), 3. Navy Guitar (IRE) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 22.29s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org