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RacingAlpha

14:29 Nottingham

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £20,936 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Leading Role (GB)
    William Buick·Charlie Appleby
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Space Bob (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker·beaten .5 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hamrin (FR)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.3 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 48.70s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Leading Role (GB))

“Prominent early - urged along over 2f out then went to the front over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside final furlong - held rivals at bay to win”

AI top-rated Playing Card (score 32.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way30.0/100 rating
Leading Role
8.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Playing Card

Hector Crouch · Harry Eustace · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 32.6 · +2.6 clear of next best (30.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Harry Eustace: 3/22 winners last 14d (14%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 81.00 (Virgin Bet) · 6th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.99
High (9–11)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Leading Role
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 11
2yo · C · ch
——30.0
6/1·7.00
SP
211
Space Bob
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——19.0
14/1·15.00
SP
35
Hamrin
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
2yo · C · b
7
—19.0
16/1·17.00
SP
44
Fulcrum
J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
——29.0
100/30·4.33
SP
53
French Artist
J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10
2yo · C · b
——23.0
200/1·201.00
SP
67
Mythical Tale
J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 9
2yo · C · b
——30.0
15/2·8.50
SP
78
Playing Card
J: Hector Crouch · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5
2yo · G · b
2
—32.6
9/4F·3.25
SP
81
Avowed
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——22.5
17/2·9.50
SP
910
Shared Odyssey
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
2yo · C · b
62
—24.2
11/2·6.50
SP
102
Emaraat
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Harry Eustace · draw 3
2yo · C · b
——22.0
33/1·34.00
SP
119
Seagoing
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 8
2yo · G · b
8
—12.0
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:29 Nottingham on 14 October 2026?

Leading Role (GB) won the 14:29 Nottingham at SP 7.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:29 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Playing Card) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 14:29 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Leading Role (GB) (7.00), 2. Space Bob (IRE) (15.00), 3. Hamrin (FR) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:29 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 48.70s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org