Who won the 15:04 Nottingham on 14 October 2026?
Knights Charge (IRE) won the 15:04 Nottingham at SP 1.83. Ridden by Shane Foley. Trained by Roger Varian.
15:04 Nottingham
Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £9,020 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83Race report
- 1stKnights Charge (IRE)AI top pick · 66.4Shane Foley·Roger Varian5/6F·1.83SP
- 2ndPort Of London (IRE)William Buick·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 0.3 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdHeyzoom (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Owen Burrows·beaten 0.3 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
2m 13.05s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Knights Charge (IRE))
“mid-pack - short of room 3f out - nudged and moved left 2f out - denied a gap over 1f out - shifted right 1f out and rallied strongly inside final furlong - challenged front runner last 110yds - edged ahead near finish to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.0/100 rating
Heyzoom
13.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Boyfriend
Boyfriend is the one to be on at Nottingham, with our ratings putting him 6 lb clear of Rogue Millions and a full 11 lb ahead of Knights Charge's 96, a gap that should count over ten furlongs on good to soft ground. Rogue Millions is the most obvious danger on 101, while Harvey and Knights Charge are closely matched behind and would need to improve to get involved. With the rest of the field rated 93 or lower, Boyfriend has a sound margin to work with in this Class 3 contest. Boyfriend is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Knights Charge
Shane Foley · Roger Varian · 3yo
Top-rated of 11
score 66.4 · +4.5 clear of next best (62.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 3-1-1-2
- Freshness10% weight85very strong34d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight62averageOR 93 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight48below averageRoger Varian: 6/32 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 2.10 (Midnite) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.99
High (9–11)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Shane Foley · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 3112 | 93 | 66.4 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 17195 | 88 | 59.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Owen Burrows · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 32148 | 90 | 62.0 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 5yo · H · b | 813234 | 93 | 57.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Kieren Fox · T: Charlie Pike · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 331 | 89 | 55.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 3yo · F · ch | 13U85 | 88 | 50.3 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 107006 | 86 | 51.7 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 231374 | 82 | 53.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 76875 | 91 | 52.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 5140 | 85 | 44.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 11 | 5 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ian Williams · draw 1 4yo · G · bh | 26931 | 89 | 47.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:04 Nottingham?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Knights Charge, won the race (AI score 66.4).
What were the placings in the 15:04 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Knights Charge (IRE) (1.83), 2. Port Of London (IRE) (12.00), 3. Heyzoom (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 15:04 Nottingham?
The winning time was 2m 13.05s.
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