Who won the 16:47 Nottingham on 14 October 2026?
Vega's Virtue (IRE) won the 16:47 Nottingham at SP 5.50. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.
16:47 Nottingham
Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)
1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £4,449 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stVega's Virtue (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndIce Cube (IRE)Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.3 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdLillie Margot (GB)AI top pick · 58.1Jack Garritty·Jedd O'Keeffe·beaten 2.5 lengths5/2·3.50SP
Race time
1m 49.13s
Race time recorded.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way48.2/100 rating
Vega's Virtue
6.50BetTom
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Lillie Margot
Lillie Margot is our selection, and she heads the ratings at 78, five pounds clear of Shadow Run on 73, which is a worthwhile edge in a modest Class 5 contest over a mile on good to soft. Shadow Run is the main danger, with Ice Cube just a pound behind him and Napolian a little further back on 70, so this is far from a penalty-kick. Those three look the likeliest to make her work, but she has the superior figure and gets the vote in a competitive nine-runner field.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Lillie Margot
Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 58.1 · +9.9 clear of next best (48.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Jedd O'Keeffe: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 7-2-1-3-4-7
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 3.80 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.99
High (8–10)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 3yo · F · bp | 381314 | 66 | 48.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 3 3yo · G · gr | 561416 | 64 | 42.5 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 721347 | 70 | 58.1 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Luke Morris · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 58800 | 53 | 31.7 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: David O'Meara · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 047265 | 68 | 43.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8 3yo · G · blp | 33507 | 67 | 39.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 10 3yo · F · ch | 5455 | 61 | 35.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 6 3yo · C · chp | 451329 | 64 | 44.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 025697 | 66 | 37.8 | — |
| — | — | J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 9 3yo · G · ch | 527167 | 69 | 39.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:47 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Lillie Margot) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:47 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Vega's Virtue (IRE) (5.50), 2. Ice Cube (IRE) (3.00), 3. Lillie Margot (GB) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:47 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 49.13s.
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