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17:07 Curragh

Ireland

Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap

7f · Flat · Yielding · 20 runners · €10,800 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 6 · score 53.5 · +4.5 clear of next best · best 10/1·11.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way53.5/100 rating
Givehertilxmas
11.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Jon RiggensDiffers from our pick

Jon Riggens shares the top rating in this 7f Curragh contest on good to soft, and we prefer him to Apache Outlaw thanks to a progressive profile and a fitness edge that should count in a big field. Apache Outlaw is level on our figures and the obvious danger, while Mickey The Steel and Poweracclaim are both only four pounds behind and sit right in the mix. In a contest this open, the horse arriving in better order and still improving gets the nod, and Jon Riggens fits that description. Jon Riggens is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Givehertilxmas

Jack Kearney(3) · Gerard Keane · 4yo

Top-rated of 23
score 53.5 · +4.5 clear of next best (49.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    65average
    Last 6: 0-3-2-5-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Gerard Keane: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 11.00 (Paddy Power) · 6th in the market of 23.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Curragh 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–8)
IV 0.96
Mid (9–16)
IV 0.99
High (17–23)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
6
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 22 · combo 1/14 (7%)
4yo · F · bvOnly runner
03251
6653.516/1·17.6810/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -38% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
20
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Laura Hourigan · draw 20 · combo 1/6 (17%)
3yo · F · btDOnly pairing
058312
5049.010/1·11.496.8·6.80
Matchbook · -41% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
7
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: M C Grassick · draw 18 · combo 0/10 (0%)
10yo · G · btOnly runner
643802
6544.816/1·17.6810/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -38% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
9
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 2 · combo 1/16 (6%)
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
880450
6444.333/1·37.1220/1·21.00
Bet365 · -43% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
18
J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 14 · combo 1/17 (6%)
5yo · M · bb
42590
5643.925/1·26.5114/1·15.00
Bet Victor · -43% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
3
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 15 · combo 2/46 (4%)
5yo · G · bDOnly pairing
814322
6743.117/2·9.725.6·5.60
Matchbook · -42% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
10
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 10 · combo 22/201 (11%)
4yo · G · bh
40436
6242.622/1·22.9814/1·15.00
Bet365 · -35% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
2
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 4 · combo 4/27 (15%)
6yo · G · chtp
032396
6842.314/1·14.1410·10.00
Matchbook · -29% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
4
8yo · G · btpDOnly pairing
736133
6741.316/1·16.7910/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -34% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
1
8yo · G · btvOnly pairing
767130
7238.618/1·19.4411/1·12.00
Bet365 · -38% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
8
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 21 · combo 24/220 (11%)
3yo · F · bh
07060
6637.033/1·37.1225/1·26.00
Bet365 · -30% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
5
J: W. J. Lee · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 17 · combo 2/5 (40%)
4yo · F · bOnly pairing
34530
6636.940/1·40.6525/1·26.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -36% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
—
J: · T: Conor David Maxwell · draw 9
3yo · G · chOnly runner
089361
4435.522/1·22.9814/1·15.00
Bet365 · -35% vs fair
Compare 23 books ▾
14
3yo · G · bbOnly pairing
005050
6233.533/1·37.1225/1·26.00
Bet365 · -30% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
11
J: James Ryan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 13
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
50607
6333.240/1·45.9628/1·29.00
Ladbrokes · -37% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
13
J: Chris Hayes · T: P J F Murphy · draw 3 · combo 1/10 (10%)
9yo · G · chtpOnly runner
659289
6031.733/1·33.5820/1·21.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -37% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
17
J: Colin Keane · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 6
4yo · G · chbOnly pairing
085035
5731.614/1·14.147/1·8.00
Bet365 · -43% vs fair
Compare 25 books ▾
12
J: Leigh Roche · T: Alan McIntyre · draw 19
7yo · G · bpOnly runner
40570
6131.440/1·40.6525/1·26.00
Ladbrokes · -36% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
16
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Aengus King · draw 12
6yo · M · bpOnly pairing
958707
5828.766/1·60.1040/1·41.00
BetWright · -32% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
15
J: Mel Sheridan(7) · T: L Young · draw 8
4yo · G · gOnly rideOnly runner
04009
5927.866/1·72.4750/1·51.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -30% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾
—
J: · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 1
4yo · G · chtp1lb below win mark
100407
4525.540/1·40.6533/1·34.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -16% vs fair
Compare 24 books ▾
—
J: · T: John James Feane · draw 23
3yo · G · b
7090
4825.214/1·15.0210.5·10.50
Matchbook · -30% vs fair
Compare 24 books ▾
19
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: R P Burns · draw 11 · combo 2/30 (7%)
6yo · G · chpFT P
70000
5023.466/1·60.1033/1·34.00
Bet Victor · -43% vs fair
Compare 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–26 bookmakers per horse with the 77% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap?

The Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap is off at 17:07 on 15 October 2026 at Curragh (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:07 Curragh?

7f, Flat, 20 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:07 Curragh?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:07 Curragh?

The AI top-rated runner is Givehertilxmas (score 53.5, best price 11.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:07 Curragh?

The market favourite is La La Lucrative at a best price of 5.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Givehertilxmas.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org