20:00 Southwell (AW)

Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Chianti

No. 3 · score 55.7 · +3.3 clear of next best · best 11/2·6.60

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.7/100 rating

Chianti

6.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Chianti

Luke Morris · Archie Watson · 2yo

Top-rated of 13

score 55.7 · +3.3 clear of next best (52.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
75strong
Archie Watson: 3/10 winners last 14d (30%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: 5-4-3-3-2-6
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 62 — above field median

MarketBest price 6.60 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
2Naval Cop 3Chianti
Prominent(8)
1Quiet Soul 4Mrs Blue 5Sable Island 6Justice Time 7Spectacular Diver 8Lola 9C'Est Lui 12Walt
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
11Persian Sunset 13Black Treasure
Unknown(1)
10Alpha Legend

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.09

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.96

High (10–13)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	ChiantiPick J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 6 · combo 2/52 (4%) 2yo · G · bbFT BOnly runner	543326	9-06	62	—	—	55.7	13/2·7.73	6.6·6.60 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Unibet9/2·5.50 Coral4/1·5.00
4	Mrs Blue J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 13 · combo 1/9 (11%) 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	32	9-04	60	—	—	52.4	9/2·5.62	10/3·4.33 Bet365 · -23% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36510/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Unibet3/1·4.00Matchbook3.95·3.95Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90Smarkets3.9·3.907Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
2	Naval Cop J: P. J. McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 · combo 10/73 (14%) 2yo · F · bClass dropD	465137	9-08	64	—	—	46.5	10/1·10.54	9.2·9.20 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook9.2·9.20Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfred13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.507Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 SmarketsSBK11/8·2.38Smarkets2.38·2.38
5	Sable Island J: Harry Davies · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 1 · combo 2/7 (29%) 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	655773	9-03	59	—	—	45.5	14/1·14.06	11·11.00 Matchbook · -22% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Bet36510/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50BetTom9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 7Bet17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00
1	Quiet Soul J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Herrington · draw 5 · combo 4/6 (67%) 2yo · F · bClass drop	23854	9-09	65	—	—	45.3	18/1·18.28	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -26% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.007Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
11	Persian Sunset J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 11 2yo · F · grpFT POnly pairing	3964	8-10	52	—	—	38.6	22/1·23.90	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50BetTom16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00Smarkets17·17.007Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
6	Justice Time J: Sam James · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	7505	9-01	57	—	—	37.9	22/1·23.90	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.007Bet16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Bet36516/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
10	Alpha Legend J: Robert Havlin · T: Marco Botti · draw 3 2yo · G · bhbFT HBOnly pairing	88707	8-11	53	—	—	37.2	18/1·18.28	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00Matchbook13·13.00Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00
9	C'Est Lui J: Sean Levey · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 8 · combo 1/5 (20%) 2yo · G · bOnly runner	67475	8-13	55	—	—	36.6	5/1·6.09	5/1·6.00 Paddy Power Compare 25 books ▾ Paddy Power5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Bet3654/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange5·5.00Smarkets4.8·4.80Matchbook4.7·4.70SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 7Bet3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00
7	Spectacular Diver J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 · combo 42/342 (12%) 2yo · G · bClass drop	563760	9-01	57	—	—	35.9	33/1·32.33	25/1·26.00 Bet365 · -20% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Unibet22/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.007Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00Smarkets18.5·18.50Betfair Exchange18·18.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00
13	Black Treasure J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7 · combo 2/27 (7%) 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly ride	7706	8-03	43	—	—	34.8	16/1·16.87	17·17.00 Matchbook Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25Smarkets3.25·3.25
12	Walt J: David Egan · T: David Loughnane · draw 2 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · G · chClass dropOnly pairing	550	8-08	50	—	—	33.2	18/1·18.28	18·18.00 Matchbook Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.007Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
8	Lola J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Tom Ward · draw 12 · combo 0/9 (0%) 2yo · F · btpFT TP	3400	9-01	57	—	—	30.5	40/1·40.77	28/1·29.00 Bet365 · -29% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.007Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00Matchbook26·26.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 20:00 on 15 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Chianti (score 55.7, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Mrs Blue at a best price of 4.33. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Chianti.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org