19:00 Southwell (AW)

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 10 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Lovely Dark Angel

No. 2 · score 49.0 · +5.3 clear of next best · best 6/5·2.20

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way28.0/100 rating

Birkett Bank

5.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lovely Dark Angel

Jack Callan · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 49.0 · +5.3 clear of next best (43.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 4-2-6
Trainer20% weight
35below average
George Boughey: 4/28 winners last 14d (14%)

MarketBest price 2.20 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(5)
1Leucothea 2Lovely Dark Angel 5Birkett Bank 6Ennerdale Water 10Trust In Far
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
3Lucky Orla 7Howard's Hobby 8Wadima 9Price Tag
Unknown(1)
4Bail Mary

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.09

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.96

High (8–10)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Lovely Dark AngelPick J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 6 · combo 4/55 (7%) 2yo · F · b	426	9-02	70	—	—	49.0	13/8·2.58	2.2·2.20 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook2.2·2.20Bet36511/10·2.10Smarkets2.08·2.08William Hillevn·2.00 SmarketsSBK1/1·2.00 7Bet10/11·1.91 Bet Victor10/11·1.91 BetTom10/11·1.91 BetWright10/11·1.91 Betano10/11·1.91 Betfred10/11·1.91 Boyle Sports10/11·1.91 Coral10/11·1.91 Dragon Bet10/11·1.91 Ladbrokes10/11·1.91 Quinn Bet10/11·1.91 SportingIndex10/11·1.91 Spreadex10/11·1.91Betfair Sportsbook10/11·1.91Paddy Power10/11·1.91 Unibet10/11·1.91 BetMGM5/6·1.83 Midnite5/6·1.83 Star Sports5/6·1.83 Betfair Exchange1.78·1.78
1	Leucothea J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 10 · combo 20/157 (13%) 2yo · F · bp	202003	9-02	70	—	—	43.7	5/2·3.55	3.1·3.10 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook3.1·3.10Bet36515/8·2.88Smarkets2.84·2.84SmarketsSBK9/5·2.80 William Hill7/4·2.75 Paddy Power7/4·2.75 7Bet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 BetMGM13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Unibet13/8·2.63 Betfred13/8·2.63 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 Betfair Exchange2.1·2.10
10	Trust In Far J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 5 2yo · F · bOnly runner	760888	8-10	38	—	—	28.6	150/1·170.11	170·170.00 Matchbook Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook170·170.007Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 BetMGM125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 William Hill125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00Smarkets110·110.00SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 Betfair Exchange42·42.00
5	Birkett Bank J: Georgia Dobie · T: Clive Cox · draw 2 · combo 7/24 (29%) 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	28	8-13	—	—	—	28.0	5/1·6.08	4/1·5.00 Paddy Power · -18% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Unibet7/2·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.407Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33Matchbook3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange3.8·3.80
4	Bail Mary J: Joanna Mason · T: Craig Lidster · draw 9 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · F · brOnly pairing	—	8-13	—	—	—	19.0	28/1·31.05	25/1·26.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -16% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00Smarkets22·22.00Matchbook22·22.007Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00
7	Howard's Hobby J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 42/342 (12%) 2yo · F · b	04	8-13	—	—	—	17.5	40/1·39.15	33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports · -13% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Boyle Sports33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00Matchbook29·29.00Smarkets28·28.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00
6	Ennerdale Water J: Clifford Lee · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 3 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	97	8-13	—	—	—	17.4	50/1·55.35	80·80.00 Matchbook · +45% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ Matchbook80·80.00Betfair Exchange80·80.00 Bet36550/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00
8	Wadima J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 · combo 12/73 (16%) 2yo · F · bhFT HOnly ride	7	8-13	—	—	—	17.0	14/1·14.85	14/1·15.00 Bet365 Compare 24 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Matchbook8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8·8.00
9	Price Tag J: Edward Greatrex · T: Faye Bramley · draw 4 2yo · F · b	8	8-10	—	—	—	13.0	80/1·90.45	70/1·71.00 7Bet · -21% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ 7Bet70/1·71.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00Matchbook50·50.00Betfair Exchange23·23.00
3	Lucky Orla J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Patrick Owens · draw 8 · combo 2/17 (12%) 2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	80	9-02	—	—	—	9.2	150/1·170.11	150/1·151.00 7Bet · -11% vs fair Compare 25 books ▾ 7Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 BetMGM125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Betano125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 William Hill125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00Smarkets110·110.00SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00Matchbook90·90.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 24–25 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Free Tips On Attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)?

The Free Tips On Attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) is off at 19:00 on 15 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Lovely Dark Angel (score 49.0, best price 2.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Lovely Dark Angel at a best price of 2.20.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org