Who won the 16:43 Newcastle (AW) on 16 October 2026?
Patrol (IRE) won the 16:43 Newcastle (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by Dylan Cunha.
16:43 Newcastle (AW)
Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 16 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stPatrol (IRE)Jack Callan·Dylan Cunha11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndWanderlust (FR)Jack Dace·Iain Jardine·beaten 0.2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdVariety Act (GER)Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 4 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
2m 11.02s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Guesstimate (score 54.5) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way53.4/100 rating
Wanderlust
5.00Ladbrokes
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Wanderlust
Wanderlust looks the pick of an open Newcastle contest, and the progressive profile is what sets him apart from Model Yuko, who is rated just two pounds better on our figures. That upward curve gives him the edge over a rival whose sums look slightly more established, and at 87 he is firmly in the mix at the top of the ratings. Model Yuko is the chief danger, with Patrol and Porth Eilian also capable of getting involved, so this is far from a foregone conclusion. Wanderlust is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Guesstimate
Daniel Tudhope · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 11
score 54.5 · +1.1 clear of next best (53.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 3-5-1-2-7-2
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73
- Trainer20% weight40below averageWilliam Haggas: 10/61 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.07
High (9–11)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 165 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 4yo · G · bv | 632315 | 77 | 48.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 435200 | 81 | 53.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 11 3yo · G · bp | 23441 | 71 | 50.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Shane Gray · T: Sam England · draw 3 4yo · G · btp | 324611 | 74 | 48.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 3yo · C · bp | 422756 | 73 | 47.6 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Roger Varian · draw 10 4yo · F · bh | 38764 | 80 | 52.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 7yo · G · chbFT B | 465177 | 75 | 47.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 5yo · M · bp | 492257 | 75 | 50.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 131382 | 79 | 50.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 8 3yo · G · ch | 420 | 70 | 40.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: William Haggas · draw 9 3yo · F · br | 351272 | 73 | 54.5 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:43 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Guesstimate) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 16:43 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Patrol (IRE) (6.50), 2. Wanderlust (FR) (4.50), 3. Variety Act (GER) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:43 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 11.02s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org