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RacingAlpha

15:40 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · €285,000 · Saturday, 23 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Gstaad (GB)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    4/11F·1.36
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Distant Storm (GB)AI top pick · 79.2
    Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby·beaten 3 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Pacific Avenue (IRE)
    Jamie Spencer·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1 length
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
1m 35.69s−1.01s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

In-running (Gstaad (GB))

“Prominent - went second 2f out - led over 1f out - soon drifted right - against far rail when ridden and went clear inside final furlong - ran on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Gstaad

On home territory, GSTAAD should have no trouble upholding Newmarket form with Distant Storm who can narrow the gap

Forecast 4/9 Gstaad, 4/1 Distant Storm, 6/1 Thesecretadversary, 8/1 Alparslan, 28/1 Power Blue, 33/1 Go Just Do It, Neolithic, Pacific Avenue, 66/1 Bamako Beach, Take Charge Star

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Distant Storm

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 79.2 · +2.3 clear of next best (76.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 114 · RPR 125 · TS 117 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    78strong
    Charlie Appleby: 5/16 winners last 14d (31%)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 1-3-1-3-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.99
High (8–10)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Gstaad
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8
3yo · C · b
22212
12076.3
4/11F·1.36
SP
23
Distant Storm
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6
3yo · C · chpFT P
13133
11479.2
5/1·6.00
SP
37
Pacific Avenue
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5
3yo · C · grp
71322
10476.9
40/1·41.00
SP
48
Power Blue
J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 7
3yo · C · b
53127
11062.3
28/1·29.00
SP
51
Alparslan
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 3
3yo · C · b
1161
11271.2
11/1·12.00
SP
610
Thesecretadversary
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 1
3yo · C · ch
21515
10866.5
14/1·15.00
SP
72
Bamako Beach
J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 9
3yo · C · b
22
—58.9
50/1·51.00
SP
89
Take Charge Star
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2
3yo · C · btFT T
31625
9762.7
50/1·51.00
SP
94
Go Just Do It
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4
3yo · C · b
4321
9866.3
25/1·26.00
SP
——
Neolithic
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10
3yo · C · bp
71313
10769.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Curragh on 23 May 2026?

Gstaad (GB) won the 15:40 Curragh at SP 1.36. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Distant Storm) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:40 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Gstaad (GB) (1.36), 2. Distant Storm (GB) (6.00), 3. Pacific Avenue (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 35.69s, 1.01s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org