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16:20 Ascot

Feature

Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £567,100 · Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/10F·2.10
  1. 1st
    Ombudsman (IRE)AI top pick · 81.5
    William Buick·John & Thady Gosden
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Minnie Hauk (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 4 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Daryz (FR)
    Mickael Barzalona·F-H Graffard·beaten 1.75 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
2m 3.24s−1.16s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ombudsman

Ombudsman arrives at Ascot in the form of his life, having won impressively on his last two starts this season, and his record of never finishing outside the top two in eleven career outings speaks for itself. The going is the crucial factor here: Daryz has established himself as a genuine top-level performer but his record on quick ground is a red flag, whereas this selection thrived on this very surface twelve months ago when winning this race with authority. Almaqam is coming off a career-best effort and cannot be dismissed, though there are nagging doubts about whether good-to-firm conditions will flatter him. **Ombudsman** is the clear selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ombudsman

William Buick · John & Thady Gosden · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 81.5 · +1.8 clear of next best (79.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    94very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-2-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    85very strong
    OR 128 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/30 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.75
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.18
High (7–8)
IV 1.11

Today: Minnie Hauk (draw 5) and See The Fire (draw 6) get the bias; Daryz (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 78 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
5yo · H · b
21211
12881.5
11/10F·2.10
SP
27
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
4yo · F · b
12615
12375.0
15/2·8.50
SP
33
J: Mickael Barzalona · T: F-H Graffard · draw 2
4yo · C · b
62111
12779.7
2/1·3.00
SP
41
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
5yo · H · b
12331
12278.3
7/1·8.00
SP
52
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Roger Teal · draw 3
5yo · H · bp
39064
11856.4
40/1·41.00
SP
68
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6
5yo · M · ch
42911
11673.1
20/1·21.00
SP
74
4yo · G · bp
41724
10965.9
66/1·67.00
SP
85
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7
4yo · C · bb
51570
9959.1
125/1·126.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Ascot on 17 June 2026?

Ombudsman (IRE) won the 16:20 Ascot at SP 2.10. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Ascot?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Ombudsman, won the race (AI score 81.5).

What were the placings in the 16:20 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Ombudsman (IRE) (2.10), 2. Minnie Hauk (IRE) (8.50), 3. Daryz (FR) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Ascot?

The winning time was 2m 3.24s, 1.16s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org