18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 17m16:45Southwell (AW)

16:45 Goodwood

Tapster Stakes (Listed Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 6 runners · £39,697 · Sunday, 7 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/10F·2.10
  1. 1st
    Tenability (GB)AI top pick · 79.0
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hamish (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Glen Buck (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 2 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
2m 44.53s+10.63s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (Tenability (GB))

“Slowly into stride - towards rear - headway and in touch with leaders from 3f out - switched right 2f out - headway to lead over 1f out - kept on inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tenability

Preference is for the Haggas-trained pair Hamish and TENABILITY, and the 4yo's upwardly mobile profile earns him the vote.

Forecast 6/4 Hamish, 15/8 Tenability, 7/2 Arabian Crown, 9/1 Involvement, 25/1 Glen Buck, 40/1 Midak

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Tenability

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 4yo

Top-rated of 6
score 79.0 · +1.6 clear of next best (77.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    85very strong
    William Haggas: 10/29 winners last 14d (34%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    50d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    81very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-1-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    75strong
    OR 109 · RPR 123 · TS 104
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.82
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.19
High (5–6)
IV 1.02

Today: Hamish (draw 3) and Involvement (draw 4) get the bias; Tenability (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
11123
10979.0
11/10F·2.10
SP
21
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3
10yo · G · b
1131
11777.4
2/1·3.00
SP
33
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6
7yo · G · b
3116
9456.5
33/1·34.00
SP
45
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Ian Williams · draw 5
4yo · G · ch
10469
10248.5
40/1·41.00
SP
52
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 2
5yo · G · b
46351
10759.3
6/1·7.00
SP
64
5yo · G · b
50134
10568.1
13/2·7.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Goodwood on 7 June 2026?

Tenability (GB) won the 16:45 Goodwood at SP 2.10. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Goodwood?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tenability, won the race (AI score 79.0).

What were the placings in the 16:45 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Tenability (GB) (2.10), 2. Hamish (GB) (3.00), 3. Glen Buck (IRE) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Goodwood?

The winning time was 2m 44.53s, 10.63s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org