16:30 Curragh

IrelandFeature

Tattersalls Irish 1,000 Guineas (Group 1)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 11 runners · €285,000 · Sunday, 24 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Precise (IRE)
Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien
4/1·5.00
SP
2nd
True Love (IRE)
Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 2.5 lengths
4/6F·1.67
SP
3rd
Abashiri (GB)AI top pick · 74.5
William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten .5 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP

Race time

1m 36.98s+0.28s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

In-running (Precise (IRE))

“Awkward start - towards rear on outer - headway 2f out - soon ridden - hung right 1f out - soon led - ran on well inside final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: True Love

Ryan Moore switches to TRUE LOVE in the wake of her Newmarket triumph, and that preference over Precise is enough to earn the vote

Forecast 10/11 True Love, 11/4 Precise, 7/1 Abashiri, 12/1 America Queen, Sukanya, 14/1 Black Caviar Gold, 16/1 Magny Cours, 25/1 Kensington Lane, Pivotal Attack, 33/1 Beautify, Hope Queen, 66/1 Sinmara

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Abashiri

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 74.5 · +0.1 clear of next best (74.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83very strong
Charlie Appleby: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
Ratings50% weight
75strong
OR 107 · RPR 118 · TS 111 — above field median
Form20% weight
53average
Last 6: 1-5

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.99

High (9–12)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	9	Precise J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · F · ch	11117	9-02	114	127	110	71.3	4/1·5.00 SP
2	12	True Love J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 3yo · F · b	21811	9-02	116	127	120	74.4	4/6F·1.67 SP
3	1	Abashiri J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 2 3yo · F · b	15	9-02	107	118	111	74.5	6/1·7.00 SP
4	4	Black Caviar Gold J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 6 3yo · F · grp	41192	9-02	104	114	93	66.8	28/1·29.00 SP
5	6	Kensington Lane J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · F · ch	21971	9-02	100	116	94	62.9	28/1·29.00 SP
6	3	Beautify J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 3yo · F · b	31288	9-02	111	119	102	61.2	40/1·41.00 SP
7	10	Sinmara J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · F · b	314	9-02	94	109	88	63.0	66/1·67.00 SP
8	8	Pivotal Attack J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 9 3yo · F · ch	51623	9-02	102	111	83	53.4	33/1·34.00 SP
9	5	Hope Queen J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 12 3yo · F · b	11	9-02	100	112	96	70.2	28/1·29.00 SP
10	7	Magny Cours J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 8 3yo · F · b	82522	9-02	103	116	96	56.3	33/1·34.00 SP
11	11	Sukanya J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 10 3yo · F · gr	74291	9-02	102	115	93	56.5	25/1·26.00 SP
—	—	America Queen J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 4 3yo · F · gr	1242	9-02	108	117	108	68.6	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Curragh on 24 May 2026?

Precise (IRE) won the 16:30 Curragh at SP 5.00. Ridden by Wayne Lordan. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Abashiri) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Precise (IRE) (5.00), 2. True Love (IRE) (1.67), 3. Abashiri (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 36.98s, on standard time.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org