Who won the 17:00 Ascot on 16 June 2026?
Kizlyar (IRE) won the 17:00 Ascot at SP 26.00. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.
17:00 Ascot
Ascot Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
2m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 20 runners · £61,848 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stKizlyar (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien25/1·26.00SP
- 2ndDefiantly (FR)James Doyle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.2 lengths25/1·26.00SP
- 3rdTim Toe (IRE)AI top pick · 63.2Ronan Whelan·Henry De Bromhead·beaten 2.5 lengths8/1·9.00SP
Race time
4m 20.94s+0.44s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Reaching High
Reaching High shaped like the unlucky horse of last year's renewal, meeting traffic trouble when well fancied and never getting a clear passage before connections wisely called it a day — the form reads as though he had every chance of winning. Returning off the same mark after a lengthy absence, his powerful jumping stable has a fine record of producing horses fresh, and the step back up to this marathon trip at Ascot looks tailor-made. Bahadur, progressive and willing last time, is the most obvious threat, while Galileo Dame remains dangerously unexposed over extreme distances for a strong O'Brien hand. **Reaching High** to finally get the run of the race and take the honours.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tim Toe
Ronan Whelan · Henry De Bromhead · 5yo
Top-rated of 20
score 63.2 · +3.3 clear of next best (59.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight87very strongLast 6: 1-3-1
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 91
- Trainer20% weight28weakHenry De Bromhead: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 2m4f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–7)
IV 1.18
Mid (8–14)
IV 1.05
High (15–20)
IV 0.77
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 4yo · G · bt | 32101 | 92 | 58.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 2 | 10 | J: James Doyle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 4yo · G · chbFT B | 14704 | 94 | 52.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 19 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 19 5yo · G · b | 131 | 91 | 63.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 3 5yo · G · ch | 44460 | 96 | 53.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 18 | J: Pierre-Charles Boudot · T: M Seror · draw 15 5yo · G · ch | 01370 | 91 | 44.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 17 5yo · G · b | 31199 | 92 | 49.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Colin Keane · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 20 5yo · M · ch | 00024 | 94 | 53.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 16 6yo · G · bht | 322360 | 100 | 47.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 17 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 9 6yo · G · bh | 117 | 91 | 44.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Robert Havlin · T: S Woods · draw 13 4yo · C · b | 11651 | 94 | 59.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 14 7yo · G · bb | 0030P | 94 | 48.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 12 | 2 | J: Harry Vigors(7) · T: W P Mullins · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 3453 | 98 | 54.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 13 | 13 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: A J Martin · draw 11 6yo · G · bt | 00071 | 92 | 48.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 14 | 5 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 2 5yo · G · bvFT V | 00386 | 94 | 51.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 15 | 6 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 12 6yo · G · b | 10201 | 94 | 57.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 16 | 16 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5 5yo · G · bpFT P | 7317 | 92 | 55.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 17 | 9 | J: Jason Watson · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 18 6yo · G · bp | 16375 | 94 | 53.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 18 | 14 | 4yo · F · bp | 42322 | 93 | 55.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 19 | 15 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 4yo · G · chp | 31011 | 93 | 57.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 20 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: W P Mullins · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 1029 | 94 | 51.0 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Tim Toe) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Kizlyar (IRE) (26.00), 2. Defiantly (FR) (26.00), 3. Tim Toe (IRE) (9.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Ascot?
The winning time was 4m 20.94s, on standard time.
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