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18:10 Ascot

Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 28 runners · £61,848 · Thursday, 18 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 21th
  1. 1st
    Mezcala (GB)
    Tom Marquand·Jack Channon
    9/2J·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Elarak (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·Charles Hills·beaten 0.3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Great Acclaim (GB)
    Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 0.3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.44s−0.36s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

AI top-rated Fondo Blanco (score 68.1) finished 21th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 50.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Vafortino

Vafortino heads this competitive 29-runner field on our ratings by a clear ten points, and the calibre of the jockey booking underlines that connections are expecting a serious run from this former Listed winner whose form in Dubai over the winter demonstrated he retains genuine quality at this level. His York return read as a creditable warm-up rather than a flop, and with the handicapper having eased his burden, he arrives here with plenty in his favour on good-to-firm ground over a trip that suits. Elarak, Hickory — who can be forgiven a couple of below-par efforts this season — and the potentially well-treated Colombier are the chief dangers in a wide-open renewal. **Vafortino** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fondo Blanco

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 4yo

Top-rated of 28
score 68.1 · +2.9 clear of next best (65.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    78strong
    Roger Varian: 11/35 winners last 14d (31%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 103 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 7-2-2-1-4
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    232d since last run (long absence)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–11)
IV 0.87
Mid (12–21)
IV 0.98
High (22–31)
IV 1.16

Today: Royal Velvet (draw 24) and Elarak (draw 31) get the bias; Fondo Blanco (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
128
J: Tom Marquand · T: Jack Channon · draw 30
4yo · G · b
12713
9460.2
9/2J·5.50
SP
26
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charles Hills · draw 31
4yo · G · b
76144
10360.5
12/1·13.00
SP
39
5yo · G · bv
40032
10059.3
12/1·13.00
SP
411
J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 28
5yo · G · b
2560
9853.6
9/2J·5.50
SP
521
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 14
4yo · G · b
23121
9565.1
14/1·15.00
SP
62
J: Neil Callan · T: Tom Clover · draw 29
7yo · G · chp
0391
10453.9
9/1·10.00
SP
719
J: Rossa Ryan · T: David O'Meara · draw 15
7yo · G · ch
93100
9549.9
66/1·67.00
SP
823
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13
4yo · G · b
U52P2
9555.8
50/1·51.00
SP
98
8yo · G · b
45078
10147.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1014
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 26
4yo · G · ch
11241
9759.5
9/1·10.00
SP
1125
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 17
8yo · G · bp
21206
9552.8
40/1·41.00
SP
1218
J: Ryan Moore · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 16
6yo · G · b
4901
9660.6
22/1·23.00
SP
1329
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ian Williams · draw 11
4yo · G · b
15607
9443.3
100/1·101.00
SP
143
J: Faleh Bughenaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 10
6yo · G · b
20116
10365.0
28/1·29.00
SP
1517
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 25
5yo · G · ch
36602
9658.3
33/1·34.00
SP
1622
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 12
4yo · G · btFT T
64155
9550.2
66/1·67.00
SP
1715
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
4yo · F · bh
23015
9659.5
17/2·9.50
SP
1812
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 18
5yo · G · b
41306
9851.2
33/1·34.00
SP
1927
J: Grace McEntee · T: George Boughey · draw 27
7yo · G · bt
441609
9448.6
100/1·101.00
SP
2016
J: James McDonald · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 8
4yo · G · b
24910
9660.8
28/1·29.00
SP
214
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6
4yo · G · br
72214
10368.1
50/1·51.00
SP
2224
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Niels Petersen · draw 1
4yo · G · b
60001
9565.1
80/1·81.00
SP
235
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 22
5yo · G · bt
17248
10354.3
40/1·41.00
SP
2410
5yo · G · grp
18531
10059.5
40/1·41.00
SP
257
J: William Buick · T: William Knight · draw 24
5yo · M · b
81511
10264.0
8/1·9.00
SP
2620
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 19
4yo · G · b
85500
9547.8
50/1·51.00
SP
2713
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
4yo · G · b
12134
9765.0
33/1·34.00
SP
2826
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Ed Walker · draw 7
4yo · G · bp
35067
9453.0
50/1·51.00
SP
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5
5yo · G · btbFT TB
42875
10548.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:10 Ascot on 18 June 2026?

Mezcala (GB) won the 18:10 Ascot at SP 5.50. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by Jack Channon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:10 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Fondo Blanco) finished 21.

What were the placings in the 18:10 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Mezcala (GB) (5.50), 2. Elarak (GB) (13.00), 3. Great Acclaim (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:10 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 25.44s, on standard time.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org