16:10 Goodwood

Feature

Visit Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £680,520 · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Bow Echo (IRE)
Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
10/11F·1.91
SP
2nd
Gstaad (GB)
Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten .5 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Opera Ballo (IRE)AI top pick · 83.7
William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.75 lengths
9/2·5.50
SP

Race time

1m 36.03s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Bow Echo (IRE))

“Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - held up in the pack - boxed in around 2f from home and asked for effort - edged right to close on the front-runners entering the last furlong - finished full of running to get up on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way83.7/100 rating

Opera Ballo

5.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Bow Echo

Bow Echo tops five wins from five starts, the strongest recent profile in this field, and though Lake Forest matches him on our figures at 128, we prefer Bow Echo's progressive profile. Opera Ballo and Gstaad also demand respect, with Opera Ballo a three-time winner in a row and Gstaad placed in all five of his recent starts. Lake Forest, the top-rated runner, remains the chief danger back at that same figure. Bow Echo is our selection, though confidence is low in this deep field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Opera Ballo

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 4yo

Top-rated of 12

score 83.7 · +3.7 clear of next best (80.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
85very strong
Last 6: 2-1-1-1-3
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
43d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
83very strong
OR 125 — above field median
Trainer20% weight
83very strong
Charlie Appleby: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)

MarketBest price 5.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.15

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.07

High (9–12)

IV 0.77

Today: Opera Ballo (draw 3) and Bow Echo (draw 4) get the bias; Seagulls Eleven (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	8	Bow Echo J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 4 3yo · C · b	11111	9-02	126	—	—	80.0	10/11F·1.91 SP
2	10	Gstaad J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 3yo · C · b	21212	9-02	120	—	—	70.9	4/1·5.00 SP
3	4	Opera Ballo J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3 4yo · C · bh	21113	9-10	125	—	—	83.7	9/2·5.50 SP
4	7	Ten Bob Tony J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7 5yo · G · ch	04811	9-10	112	—	—	71.4	16/1·17.00 SP
5	12	Zavateri J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 11 3yo · C · ch	11142	9-02	118	—	—	66.4	25/1·26.00 SP
6	3	Never So Brave J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 5yo · G · b	17552	9-10	115	—	—	66.1	80/1·81.00 SP
7	2	Lake Forest J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 5yo · G · ch	07151	9-10	119	—	—	68.3	17/2·9.50 SP
8	1	Docklands J: James Doyle · T: Harry Eustace · draw 9 6yo · H · bt	41376	9-10	118	—	—	69.6	80/1·81.00 SP
9	5	Qirat J: Colin Keane · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8 5yo · G · cht	04714	9-10	109	—	—	61.0	50/1·51.00 SP
10	6	Seagulls Eleven J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 12 4yo · G · ch	02113	9-10	114	—	—	70.4	50/1·51.00 SP
11	11	Puerto Rico J: Christophe Soumillon · T: A P O'Brien · draw 10 3yo · C · baybrown	11146	9-02	118	—	—	64.6	40/1·41.00 SP
12	9	Dorset J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · C · g	17894	9-02	103	—	—	51.8	200/1·201.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Goodwood on 29 July 2026?

Bow Echo (IRE) won the 16:10 Goodwood at SP 1.91. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Opera Ballo) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Bow Echo (IRE) (1.91), 2. Gstaad (GB) (5.00), 3. Opera Ballo (IRE) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 36.03s.

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