18:50 Down Royal

Ireland

His Majesty's Plate (Listed Race)

2m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 5 runners · €29,450 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83

1st
Carmers (IRE)AI top pick · 60.7
W J Lee·P Twomey
5/6F·1.83
SP
2nd
Layfayette (IRE)
Colin Keane·Noel Meade·beaten 2.25 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP
3rd
Tennessee Stud (IRE)
Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 4.25 lengths
5/2·3.50
SP

Race time

3m 32.74s+3.94s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Carmers (IRE))

“Raced in second - pressed leader over 2f out - led under 2f out - ridden and ran on well final furlong - comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Carmers

Nothing between CARMERS and Tennessee Stud on ratings but the benefit of a recent run may give the former the edge

Forecast 5/4 Carmers, 13/8 Tennessee Stud, 13/2 Layfayette, 10/1 Dallas Star, 25/1 Mont St Michel, Alba Chiara

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Carmers

W J Lee · P Twomey · 4yo

Top-rated of 5

score 60.7 · +2.3 clear of next best (58.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
34d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
77strong
OR 112 · RPR 118 · TS 116 — above field median
Form20% weight
54average
Last 6: 1-1-2-5-5
Trainer20% weight
15weak
P Twomey: 1/16 winners last 14d (6%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 2m

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.92

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.31

High (5–6)

IV 0.81

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Carmers J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 2 4yo · C · bvFT V	11255	9-10	112	118	116	60.7	5/6F·1.83 SP
2	4	Layfayette J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 1 9yo · G · brp	06716	9-06	102	114	57	53.1	9/1·10.00 SP
3	2	Tennessee Stud J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 4yo · C · b	34410	9-10	112	120	117	58.4	5/2·3.50 SP
4	3	Dallas Star J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5 5yo · G · b	23325	9-06	103	116	67	55.5	5/1·6.00 SP
5	5	Mont St Michel J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 4 5yo · H · btp	19006	9-06	89	103	48	42.0	300/1·301.00 SP
—	—	Alba Chiara J: Leigh Roche · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 3 4yo · F · bbFT B	30120	9-00	81	95	81	44.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:50 Down Royal on 29 May 2026?

Carmers (IRE) won the 18:50 Down Royal at SP 1.83. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by P Twomey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:50 Down Royal?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Carmers, won the race (AI score 60.7).

What were the placings in the 18:50 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Carmers (IRE) (1.83), 2. Layfayette (IRE) (10.00), 3. Tennessee Stud (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:50 Down Royal?

The winning time was 3m 32.74s, 3.94s slower than standard.

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