Who won the 17:00 Leopardstown on 12 September 2026?
Hotazhell (GB) won the 17:00 Leopardstown at SP 51.00. Ridden by Shane Foley. Trained by Mrs John Harrington.
Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1)
1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · €725,001 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stHotazhell (GB)Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington50/1·51.00SP
- 2ndWimbledon Hawkeye (GB)Christophe Soumillon·George Scott·beaten 0.05 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdConstitution River (FR)Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
Race time
2m 2.53s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Hotazhell (GB))
“Settled midpack - 5th at halfway - driven and angled right approaching 2f out - moved into 2nd and drifted left inside the final furlong - got up close home to prevail”
AI top-rated Item (score 78.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way70.2/100 rating
Almaqam
6.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Almaqam
Almaqam holds a narrow edge at the head of these ratings, but this is a fiercely competitive Class 1 over ten furlongs at Leopardstown and the low confidence here reflects how closely matched the principals are. Constitution River is the most obvious threat and, rated only three pounds below Almaqam, will need to be respected, while Item and Lambourn also have the ability to make this a genuine contest if conditions suit. With the caveat that this is far from a clear-cut call, Almaqam is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Item
Colin Keane · Andrew Balding · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 78.7 · +3.4 clear of next best (75.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight84very strongOR 126 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight81very strongLast 6: 1-1-9-1-1
- Trainer20% weight53averageAndrew Balding: 16/78 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketBest price 3.35 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m2f
full course data →Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.12
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.24
High (7–8)
IV 0.64
Today: Item (draw 4) and Hawk Mountain (draw 5) get the bias; Wimbledon Hawkeye (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 113 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 4yo · C · bp | 4031 | 116 | 62.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Christophe Soumillon · T: George Scott · draw 7 4yo · C · b | 05231 | 115 | 71.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · C · b | 11113 | 123 | 75.3 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 5yo · H · b | 33142 | 125 | 70.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 23421 | 117 | 67.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 3yo · C · ch | 11911 | 126 | 78.7 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Pierre-Charles Boudot · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 11236 | 116 | 67.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 4yo · C · b | 13054 | 119 | 62.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Leopardstown?
No — the AI top pick (Item) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Leopardstown?
Top finishers: 1. Hotazhell (GB) (51.00), 2. Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB) (34.00), 3. Constitution River (FR) (2.38).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Leopardstown?
The winning time was 2m 2.53s.
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