Who won the 15:25 Curragh on 18 July 2026?
Cover Up (IRE) won the 15:25 Curragh at SP 8.00. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.
Tulfarris Hotel And Golf Resort Sapphire Stakes (Group 2)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · €78,000 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stCover Up (IRE)James Doyle·Simon & Ed Crisford7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndPartisan Hero (IRE)Colin Keane·David Loughnane·beaten .75 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdJakajaro (IRE)Jamie Spencer·Robert Cowell·beaten 1 length7/2·4.50SP
Race time
57.35s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cover Up (IRE))
“restrained towards the back - 8th at halfway - driven and squeezed for room for a moment inside the final 2f - made further ground amid a hard drive over 1f out - up to 4th 1f out - shared the lead 100 yards out and soon went clear to score”
AI top-rated Rosy Affair (score 71.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Jakajaro
Jakajaro is our selection ahead of top-rated Havana Anna, preferred for his more progressive profile despite sitting only third on the figures at 115. Havana Anna is narrowly ahead on the ratings and heads the danger list alongside Bucanero Fuerte, who matches Jakajaro's figure exactly, and Rosy Affair. It's a tightly-bunched sprint with the front three separated by just a pound, so this is a swing call, but Jakajaro's profile edges it for us.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rosy Affair
Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 5yo
Top-rated of 10
score 71.5 · +0.3 clear of next best (71.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong32d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight77strongLast 6: 1-1-2-1-4
- Ratings50% weight72strongOR 108
- Trainer20% weight58averageGeorge Boughey: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.84
High (8–10)
IV 1.12
Today: Cover Up (draw 8) and Bucanero Fuerte (draw 9) get the bias; Rosy Affair (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 8 6yo · G · bt | 11380 | 108 | 65.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Colin Keane · T: David Loughnane · draw 2 6yo · G · bp | 827133 | 104 | 65.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Robert Cowell · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 71145 | 110 | 60.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 7 5yo · M · b | 11214 | 108 | 71.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 3yo · C · btp | 22640 | 101 | 55.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 9 5yo · C · b | 37754 | 106 | 50.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 22014 | 110 | 71.1 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 12746 | 93 | 47.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 4 5yo · G · btp | 21001 | 103 | 63.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · C · bb | 11180 | 107 | 59.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Rosy Affair) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:25 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Cover Up (IRE) (8.00), 2. Partisan Hero (IRE) (15.00), 3. Jakajaro (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:25 Curragh?
The winning time was 57.35s.
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