Who won the 16:07 Navan on 11 July 2026?
South Island (IRE) won the 16:07 Navan at SP 3.00. Ridden by Paddy Harnett. Trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien.
16:07 Navan
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Race
1m2f · Flat · Good · 5 runners · €12,958 · Saturday, 11 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stSouth Island (IRE)Paddy Harnett·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien2/1·3.00SP
- 2ndSummer Is Tomorrow (IRE)AI top pick · 55.2Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.2 lengths11/10F·2.10SP
- 3rdHard Promises (IRE)Ben Coen·A Oliver·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
2m 8.42s
Race time recorded.
In-running (South Island (IRE))
“Sat in behind the pacesetter early - asked for effort with two and a half furlongs left - shared second approaching the furlong marker without reaching the front - got up in the last strides to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: South Island
South Island is the selection at Navan, topping this field of five on our figures with a rating of 94 over today's ten furlongs on good to firm ground. Summer Is Tomorrow, rated 92, is barely behind and the clear danger, with Hard Promises (78) and Mo Mhuirin (76) further back but not to be dismissed. Confidence in the vote is only low, reflecting how close the front two look on figures.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Summer Is Tomorrow
Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 55.2 · +0.1 clear of next best (55.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight65strongOR 98
- Trainer20% weight40below averageJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 11/67 winners last 14d (16%)
- Form20% weight38below averageLast 6: 0-4-6-9-2
MarketBest price 2.88 (Virgin Bet) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Navan 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.03
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.05
High (5–5)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 61865 | 100 | 53.2 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 3yo · C · bv | 04692 | 98 | 55.2 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 3 | 4 | 3yo · C · ch | 3 | — | 28.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 3yo · G · br | 41 | — | 29.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 132 | 84 | 55.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:07 Navan?
No — the AI top pick (Summer Is Tomorrow) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:07 Navan?
Top finishers: 1. South Island (IRE) (3.00), 2. Summer Is Tomorrow (IRE) (2.10), 3. Hard Promises (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:07 Navan?
The winning time was 2m 8.42s.
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