15:00 York

Off in 1h 5mFeature

Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2)

1m4f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners · £141,775 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Christmas Day

No. 1 · score 76.8 · +2.2 clear of next best · best 2/1·3.00

Best value vs consensus

Pierre Bonnard

4.6·4.60 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair (consensus 4.42)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Christmas DayAgrees with our pick

Christmas Day holds a rating of 124, level with Pierre Bonnard at the head of the field, and over this mile and a half at York on good ground there is plenty to like about a horse rated narrowly ahead of the chasing pack led by Maltese Cross on 117 and Galiyan on 107. Pierre Bonnard is the obvious threat given he matches our selection on ratings, while Maltese Cross cannot be dismissed at a seven-pound deficit. On balance, Christmas Day is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Christmas Day

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 6

score 76.8 · +2.2 clear of next best (74.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
52d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
85very strong
Last 6: 1-1-3-1-2
Ratings50% weight
79strong
OR 118 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
60average
A P O'Brien: 9/37 winners last 14d (24%)

MarketBest price 3.00 (Ladbrokes) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
3Antigua
Prominent(3)
1Christmas Day 2Maltese Cross 5Pierre Bonnard
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(2)
4Galiyan 6Superior Choice

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m4f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.38

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.71

High (5–6)

IV 0.87

Today: Pierre Bonnard (draw 2) and Galiyan (draw 1) get the bias; Christmas Day (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Christmas DayPick J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 29/86 (34%) 3yo · C · bD	11312	9-07	118	—	—	76.8	9/4·3.14	2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes · -4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00Matchbook2.96·2.96Betfair Exchange2.96·2.96Smarkets2.94·2.947Bet19/10·2.90 Spreadex15/8·2.88 Unibet15/8·2.88 Bet36515/8·2.88 Quinn Bet15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 Boyle Sports15/8·2.88 SmarketsSBK9/5·2.80 talkSPORT BET7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75BetWright7/4·2.75 BetMGM7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 BresBet7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 10 Bet7/4·2.75 Betfred13/8·2.63
6	Superior Choice J: Shane Foley · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 3yo · C · b	4111	9-02	104	—	—	74.6	15/2·8.29	8.4·8.40 Smarkets All 30 books ▾ Smarkets8.4·8.40Matchbook8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00
2	Maltese Cross J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 6 · combo 16/120 (13%) 3yo · C · b	11121	9-07	115	—	—	73.7	11/4·3.87	3.85·3.85 Smarkets All 30 books ▾ Smarkets3.85·3.85Betfair Exchange3.85·3.85Matchbook3.85·3.85Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Betano11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.5010 Bet5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50
5	Pierre Bonnard J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 12/88 (14%) 3yo · C · b	17273	9-02	116	—	—	68.8	7/2·4.42	4.6·4.60 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60Smarkets4.6·4.60Matchbook4.6·4.60SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Unibet10/3·4.33 BetMGM16/5·4.20 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00BresBet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 talkSPORT BET3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00
4	Galiyan J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 · combo 19/96 (20%) 3yo · C · ch	4162	9-02	106	—	—	62.2	14/1·14.36	14.5·14.50 Smarkets All 30 books ▾ Smarkets14.5·14.50Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.0010 Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Unibet10/1·11.00
3	Antigua J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 · combo 2/20 (10%) 3yo · C · btbGoing 1/2	04410	9-02	87	—	—	57.8	150/1·166.81	240·240.00 Smarkets · +44% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets240·240.00Matchbook240·240.00Betfair Exchange220·220.00 talkSPORT BET150/1·151.00 William Hill150/1·151.00 Midnite150/1·151.00 Quinn Bet150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00BetMGM150/1·151.00 BetTom150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Bet365150/1·151.00 Coral150/1·151.00 Ladbrokes150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 Betfred150/1·151.00 Boyle Sports150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 10% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2)?

The Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) is off at 15:00 on 19 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 York?

1m4f, Class 1, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 York?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Christmas Day (score 76.8, best price 3.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 York?

The market favourite is Christmas Day at a best price of 3.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org