15:20 Redcar

Off in 1h 1mFeature

William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 13 runners · £85,065 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Thames Waterman

No. 10 · score 67.8 · +1.8 clear of next best · best 15/2·8.60

Best value vs consensus

Rlasthope

100·100.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair (consensus 80.93)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way67.8/100 rating

Thames Waterman

8.60Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: RevelsDiffers from our pick

Revels looks the standout in this Class 1 sprint at Redcar, with our rating of 104 putting him a full 10 lb clear of Stardom Glory on 94, a gap that should count for plenty over 6f on good ground. The chief dangers are Stardom Glory, Satellite of Love and Quillan, but all three sit on 94 or 92 and will need to improve to get on terms. With a thirteen-runner field the race could be messy, yet Revels has the class to overcome it. Revels is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Thames Waterman

Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes · 2yo

Top-rated of 13

score 67.8 · +1.8 clear of next best (66.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1-1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 85
Trainer20% weight
48below average
Richard Hughes: 5/26 winners last 14d (19%)

MarketBest price 8.60 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 6 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(6)
3Revels 4Satellite of Love 5Stardom Glory 6Quillan 11Too Many Spirits 12Global Success
Prominent(2)
1Baddaddan 13Cheeky Chesca
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
2Mind Those Steps 7Elevating 8Myesme 9Rlasthope
Unknown(1)
10Thames Waterman

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.02

Mid (6–9)

IV 0.98

High (10–13)

IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
10	Thames WatermanPick J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 8 · combo 11/138 (8%) 2yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner	11	8-11	85	—	—	67.8	6/1·7.25	8.6·8.60 Smarkets · +19% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets8.6·8.60Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 7Bet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Bet3654/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00
4	Satellite of Love J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Clive Cox · draw 10 2yo · C · bDOnly runner	1152	9-04	105	—	—	66.0	9/4·3.18	2.9·2.90 Smarkets · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets2.9·2.90Matchbook2.9·2.90Betfair Exchange2.88·2.88 Spreadex7/4·2.75 SportingIndex7/4·2.75 SmarketsSBK7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 Betfred13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63BetTom13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Paddy Power13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.62 William Hill13/8·2.62 BetMGM13/8·2.62 Ladbrokes13/8·2.62 BetWright13/8·2.62 Quinn Bet13/8·2.62 Dragon Bet13/8·2.62 Coral13/8·2.62
3	Revels J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 · combo 17/101 (17%) 2yo · C · chCDOnly pairing	19104	9-04	104	—	—	63.2	10/3·4.23	11/4·3.75 Betano · -11% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betano11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75Smarkets3.7·3.70Betfair Exchange3.65·3.65Matchbook3.65·3.657Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.5010 Bet5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite9/4·3.25 Coral7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75
8	Myesme J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 · combo 11/46 (24%) 2yo · F · b	21	8-13	84	—	—	61.5	11/2·6.64	7·7.00 Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Bet3655/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Betano9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00
5	Stardom Glory J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 · combo 3/15 (20%) 2yo · C · chtFT TDGoing 1/4Only runner	22166	9-04	93	—	—	54.0	14/1·15.70	15.5·15.50 Betfair Exchange Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50Matchbook15.5·15.50Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Star Sports11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00
6	Quillan J: Kaiya Fraser · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 7 2yo · C · grhFT HCGoing 2/2Only runner	1105	9-02	86	—	—	51.1	40/1·41.07	55·55.00 Matchbook · +34% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Smarkets50·50.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.0010 Bet33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00BetTom33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 William Hill25/1·26.00
12	Global Success J: Tom Kiely-Marshall · T: J. S. Moore · draw 11 2yo · F · bbOnly runner	252534	8-06	66	—	—	50.6	250/1·242.78	500·500.00 Smarkets · +106% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets500·500.00Matchbook450·450.00Betfair Exchange410·410.00 Bet365250/1·251.00 SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.00Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Star Sports200/1·201.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00BetMGM150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00Betfair Sportsbook150/1·151.00Paddy Power150/1·151.00 BetTom150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 Unibet125/1·126.00
2	Mind Those Steps J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 9 · combo 39/321 (12%) 2yo · C · btp	310035	9-04	77	—	—	50.2	100/1·122.00	310·310.00 Matchbook · +154% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook310·310.00Smarkets290·290.00Betfair Exchange230·230.00 SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00 William Hill125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 7Bet80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00
7	Elevating J: Kevin Stott · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 2yo · F · bOnly runner	29157	8-13	86	—	—	50.0	28/1·31.41	40·40.00 Matchbook · +27% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook40·40.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00Smarkets38·38.00SportingIndex33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Unibet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00
13	Cheeky Chesca J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 · combo 11/171 (6%) 2yo · F · bbD	793316	8-03	66	—	—	49.7	250/1·303.18	620·620.00 Matchbook · +105% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook620·620.00Betfair Exchange530·530.00Smarkets500·500.00Bet Victor300/1·301.00 Bet365300/1·301.00 Boyle Sports300/1·301.00Betfair Sportsbook300/1·301.00Paddy Power300/1·301.00 SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 LiveScore Bet250/1·251.00 10 Bet250/1·251.00 BetTom250/1·251.00Hollywood Bets250/1·251.00Virgin Bet250/1·251.00William Hill250/1·251.00 Betano250/1·251.00 Betfred250/1·251.00 Star Sports250/1·251.00 Quinn Bet250/1·251.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 7Bet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00
11	Too Many Spirits J: Cam Hardie · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 4 · combo 0/8 (0%) 2yo · G · bDOnly pairing	522414	8-11	74	—	—	46.2	250/1·242.78	800·800.00 Matchbook · +230% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook800·800.00Betfair Exchange730·730.00Smarkets500·500.00Bet365250/1·251.00 SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.007Bet200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Star Sports200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00
9	Rlasthope J: Tom Eaves · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 13 · combo 2/17 (12%) 2yo · G · bpFT P2lb below win markDOnly pairing	523317	8-11	78	—	—	45.9	80/1·80.93	100·100.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook100·100.00Betfair Exchange100·100.00Smarkets95·95.00Bet36580/1·81.00 SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00
1	Baddaddan J: Connor Beasley · T: Richard Spencer · draw 12 2yo · G · bbDOnly runner	41004	9-04	83	—	—	43.9	100/1·122.00	180·180.00 Matchbook · +48% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook180·180.00Smarkets170·170.00William Hill125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange110·110.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Paddy Power100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 7Bet100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00Hollywood Bets100/1·101.00Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook90/1·91.00Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race)?

The William Hill Two Year Old Trophy (Listed Race) is off at 15:20 on 3 October 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:20 Redcar?

6f, Class 1, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:20 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:20 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Thames Waterman (score 67.8, best price 8.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:20 Redcar?

The market favourite is Satellite of Love at a best price of 2.90. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Thames Waterman.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org