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17:27 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden

7f · Flat · Good To Firm · 16 runners · €15,000 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 11 · score 43.8 · +1.1 clear of next best · best 7/4·2.70

Drawn 4, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
8.8·8.80 Matchbook · +4% vs fair (consensus 8.49)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way21.5/100 rating
The Green Helmet
5.50Betfair Sportsbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Banks Of The Boyne

Wesley Joyce(3) · Michael Mulvany · 2yo

Top-rated of 16
score 43.8 · +1.1 clear of next best (42.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    4d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 8-0-2-2-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Michael Mulvany: 0/18 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 2.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.16
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.88
High (12–16)
IV 0.94

Today: Banks Of The Boyne (draw 4) and Lucy's Promise (draw 1) get the bias; Melchizedek (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
11
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 4 · combo 7/68 (10%)
2yo · G · bOnly runner
80224
7943.89/4·3.372.7·2.70
Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
15
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
0768
6642.614/1·15.5614.5·14.50
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
5
J: Gary Carroll · T: M P Fogarty · draw 11
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
25.040/1·41.0333/1·34.00
Paddy Power · -17% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
14
J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 8
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
24.533/1·32.5425/1·26.00
BetMGM · -20% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 9 · combo 3/87 (3%)
2yo · C · b
73
21.56/1·7.079/2·5.50
Betfair Sportsbook · -22% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5 · combo 5/65 (8%)
2yo · F · b
20.015/2·8.498.8·8.80
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 3 · combo 2/23 (9%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
15.028/1·29.7122/1·23.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
8
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: W R Crawford · draw 12
2yo · C · chOnly runner
5
12.520/1·21.2218·18.00
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Nathan Crosse · T: David Marnane · draw 16 · combo 1/11 (9%)
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
8
12.033/1·36.7928/1·29.00
Bet365 · -21% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Wayne Lordan · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 14 · combo 0/20 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
8
12.08/1·9.208·8.00
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
13
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Josh Halley · draw 15
2yo · F · gOnly rideOnly runner
50
12.066/1·72.1666/1·67.00
Paddy Power · -7% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
10
J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 6 · combo 0/6 (0%)
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
0
11.550/1·58.0150/1·51.00
Bet365 · -12% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
12
J: Jamie Powell · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 7
2yo · F · bhOnly pairing
00
10.0200/1·213.66200/1·201.00
Bet Victor · -6% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 13 · combo 1/24 (4%)
2yo · G · br
9
9.740/1·41.0333/1·34.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
16
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 10
2yo · F · chOnly runner
9
7.725/1·26.8822/1·23.00
Paddy Power · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Noel Meade · draw 2
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
0
7.0100/1·94.8080/1·81.00
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden?

The Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden is off at 17:27 on 20 August 2026 at Leopardstown (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:27 Leopardstown?

7f, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:27 Leopardstown?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:27 Leopardstown?

The AI top-rated runner is Banks Of The Boyne (score 43.8, best price 2.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:27 Leopardstown?

The market favourite is Banks Of The Boyne at a best price of 2.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org