20:00 Leopardstown

Ireland

Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap

1m · Flat · Good To Firm · 8 runners · €15,000 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Glory To Be

No. 3 · score 61.9 · +2.9 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.00

Best value vs consensus

Mallavelly

12·12.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 11.24)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way61.9/100 rating

Glory To Be

10.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Pink OxalisDiffers from our pick

Pink Oxalis is rated level with Mallavelly at the head of this eight-runner Leopardstown mile on good to firm ground, so the pair share top billing on ratings, and it is the nuances of form rather than any clear edge on paper that separate them. Glory To Be and Tachos represent the next tier of dangers and cannot be dismissed, particularly Glory To Be who holds a useful advantage over the lower-rated runners in the field. With the selection confidence acknowledged as modest, Pink Oxalis is taken to edge a competitive verdict, though Mallavelly poses an equally strong case throughout. Pink Oxalis is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Glory To Be

Scott McCullagh · M C Grassick · 4yo

Top-rated of 8

score 61.9 · +2.9 clear of next best (59.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
33d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
M C Grassick: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
56average
OR 84
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 7-9-5-2-1-0

MarketBest price 10.00 (Bet365) · 5th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Thrifty Of Digby
Prominent(1)
7Bella Colombia
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(5)
1Pink Oxalis 2Mallavelly 3Glory To Be 6Marmeladova 8Tachos
Unknown(1)
4Duchess Of Kenli

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.16

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.88

High (7–8)

IV 0.94

Today: Duchess Of Kenli (draw 3) and Pink Oxalis (draw 2) get the bias; Glory To Be (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Glory To BePick J: Scott McCullagh · T: M C Grassick · draw 6 4yo · F · chpOnly pairing	795210	9-08	84	—	—	61.9	9/1·9.91	9/1·10.00 Bet365 All 27 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00Matchbook9.6·9.60Betano7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 BetWright13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange3·3.00
4	Duchess Of Kenli J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 · combo 5/65 (8%) 3yo · F · bD	61	9-06	88	—	—	59.0	3/1·4.03	9/4·3.25 BetWright · -19% vs fair All 28 books ▾ BetWright9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 talkSPORT BET9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange3.1·3.10Matchbook3.1·3.10BetTom2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88 Star Sports15/8·2.88Smarkets2.88·2.88
7	Bella Colombia J: Ben Coen · T: W McCreery · draw 5 5yo · M · bCDOnly pairing	352311	8-13	75	—	—	56.6	7/1·7.93	11/2·6.50 BresBet · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50Smarkets5.4·5.40SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00Matchbook3.45·3.45Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40
1	Pink Oxalis J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 2 · combo 1/25 (4%) 5yo · M · brbOnly rideOnly runner	035625	10-00	90	—	—	48.2	11/1·11.90	9/1·10.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3659/1·10.00 BetWright17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports15/2·8.50Matchbook7.8·7.80Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40
5	Thrifty Of Digby J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 4 · combo 19/152 (13%) 5yo · M · chpD	0811P3	9-05	81	—	—	47.3	11/2·6.61	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Bet3659/2·5.50 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Star Sports7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.7·3.70
2	Mallavelly J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 8 · combo 3/25 (12%) 5yo · M · btp	07236	9-09	85	—	—	46.9	10/1·11.24	12·12.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook12·12.00Betano8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Star Sports7/1·8.00Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10
6	Marmeladova J: Donagh O'Connor · T: K J Condon · draw 7 5yo · M · bC	432106	9-02	78	—	—	46.3	14/1·15.86	12/1·13.00 BresBet · -18% vs fair All 28 books ▾ BresBet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Matchbook11.5·11.50Star Sports10/1·11.00Smarkets9.6·9.60SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60
8	Tachos J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 1 · combo 6/61 (10%) 5yo · M · btpFT TP	69053	8-10	72	—	—	43.0	13/2·7.27	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -4% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00Matchbook6.4·6.40Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 BetTom4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.65·3.65

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap?

The Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap is off at 20:00 on 20 August 2026 at Leopardstown (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:00 Leopardstown?

1m, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:00 Leopardstown?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:00 Leopardstown?

The AI top-rated runner is Glory To Be (score 61.9, best price 10.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:00 Leopardstown?

The market favourite is Duchess Of Kenli at a best price of 3.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Glory To Be.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org