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RacingAlpha

19:40 Navan

Ireland

Racing Again This Saturday Fillies Maiden

1m2f · Flat · Good · 21 runners · €7,200 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Mawhibah (QA)
    J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sunatia (FR)
    Chris Hayes·D K Weld·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Shanala (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1J·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 7.97s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mawhibah (QA))

Held up towards the back - pushed along and improving from wide 2f out - into 4th with a furlong left - finished strongly to hit the front near the line

AI top-rated Serendipia (score 60.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way60.4/100 rating
Serendipia
10.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Serendipia

W J Lee · W McCreery · 3yo

Top-rated of 23
score 60.4 · +5.9 clear of next best (54.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    W McCreery: 5/15 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
  • Form20% weight
    48below average
    Last 6: 6-8-4-3-3
MarketBest price 10.00 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 23.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Navan 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–8)
IV 1.03
Mid (9–16)
IV 1.05
High (17–23)
IV 0.92

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
3yo · F · g
542
7454.5
8/1·9.00
SP
218
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 11
3yo · F · b
02
24.9
5/1·6.00
SP
316
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 17
3yo · F · b
54
17.5
4/1J·5.00
SP
414
J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 6
3yo · F · bbFT B
355
7539.0
4/1J·5.00
SP
515
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 21
3yo · F · bt
68433
7360.4
8/1·9.00
SP
65
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 14
3yo · F · b
6
12.5
14/1·15.00
SP
77
J: Andrew Slattery · T: E McNamara · draw 20
3yo · F · b
0
10.0
250/1·251.00
SP
89
3yo · F · b
06
11.2
100/1·101.00
SP
93
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 3
3yo · F · chb
52294
7143.1
33/1·34.00
SP
1017
J: Declan McDonogh · T: W McCreery · draw 4
3yo · F · b
7
26.0
12/1·13.00
SP
118
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 10
3yo · F · b
3
28.5
14/1·15.00
SP
1223
J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 23
3yo · F · b
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
1322
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: A Oliver · draw 13
3yo · F · b
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
1420
3yo · F · b
0
13.5
300/1·301.00
SP
156
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 12
3yo · F · b
4
27.5
9/2·5.50
SP
1621
3yo · F · g
16.5
40/1·41.00
SP
1711
3yo · F · btFT T
5
17.5
11/1·12.00
SP
181
J: Robert Whearty · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 8
7yo · M · b
28
20.0
100/1·101.00
SP
1912
J: Rory Cleary · T: Conor David Maxwell · draw 19
3yo · F · ch
09
7.8
250/1·251.00
SP
202
J: Ghulam Abbas(7) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 9
6yo · M · br
12.5
300/1·301.00
SP
2113
3yo · F · b
800
14.3
300/1·301.00
SP
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 18
3yo · F · g
6
12.5
3yo · F · btFT T
05628
6944.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:40 Navan on 2 September 2026?

Mawhibah (QA) won the 19:40 Navan at SP 9.00. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Navan?

No — the AI top pick (Serendipia) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:40 Navan?

Top finishers: 1. Mawhibah (QA) (9.00), 2. Sunatia (FR) (6.00), 3. Shanala (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:40 Navan?

The winning time was 2m 7.97s.

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