Who won the 15:05 Ayr on 18 September 2026?
Fluorescence (GB) won the 15:05 Ayr at SP 4.50. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Edward Bethell.
15:05 Ayr
Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)
5½f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 14 runners · £39,697 · Friday, 18 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stFluorescence (GB)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndBeautiful Diamond (GB)AI top pick · 62.8Pierre-Louis Jamin·K. R. Burke·beaten 3 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdNariko (IRE)Tom Marquand·Hugo Palmer·beaten 1.25 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
1m 7.72s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fluorescence (GB))
“Drifted left at the off - settled towards the back going smoothly - still handy but boxed in approaching 2f out - checked briefly - moved left and pushed into command inside the final furlong - stayed on well to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way60.0/100 rating
Fluorescence
6.20Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Beautiful Diamond
Beautiful Diamond heads this 14-runner field narrowly ahead of La Brodeuse and Catching The Moon on our ratings, and her form over this trip entitles her to plenty of respect in a Class 1 contest on soft ground at Ayr. La Brodeuse and Catching The Moon are the most obvious dangers alongside Heavenly Heather, who also merits consideration, but Beautiful Diamond's profile suggests she is well suited to these conditions and can assert her superiority. Beautiful Diamond is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Beautiful Diamond
Pierre-Louis Jamin · K. R. Burke · 5yo
Top-rated of 15
score 62.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (60.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
- Freshness10% weight65strong90d since last run (rusty)
- Trainer20% weight58averageK. R. Burke: 12/53 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: 2-3-9-3-3
MarketBest price 3.25 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 15.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 5½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.24
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.98
High (11–15)
IV 0.75
Today: Beautiful Diamond (draw 4) and Fluorescence (draw 2) get the bias; Lady Youmzain (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 4yo · F · b | U49314 | 97 | 60.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 5yo · M · gr | 23933 | 104 | 62.8 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 14 5yo · M · b | 10689 | 87 | 42.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 14 | J: P. J. McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8 3yo · F · bvFT V | 06172 | 83 | 58.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 15 3yo · F · b | 11004 | 94 | 48.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 50362 | 101 | 58.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 1132 | 96 | 58.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 72433 | 98 | 58.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 9 | 5 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 1 5yo · M · ch | 542600 | 103 | 48.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 32105 | 94 | 58.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 11 | 3 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 12 5yo · M · b | 356907 | 90 | 49.8 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 12 | 11 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: J A Stack · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 782863 | 88 | 46.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 13 | 9 | J: Rhys Elliott · T: Michael Dods · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 951681 | 92 | 56.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 14 | 15 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 143500 | 82 | 44.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 3 5yo · M · b | 064914 | 79 | 45.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Beautiful Diamond) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:05 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Fluorescence (GB) (4.50), 2. Beautiful Diamond (GB) (2.62), 3. Nariko (IRE) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 7.72s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org