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RacingAlpha

20:00 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

BAR 1 Betting 'Bet €10 Get €70' Handicap

1m2½f · Flat · Standard · 14 runners · €6,000 · Friday, 18 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Wild Berries (IRE)
    Reese Holohan·Ross O'Sullivan
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jazz Forever (IRE)
    Luke McAteer·Paul W Flynn·beaten 3.5 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Doctor Grace (IRE)
    Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 1 length
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
2m 15.55s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Onyeisi (score 47.6) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 33.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way37.0/100 rating
Chloe's Boy
6.50Coral
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Signor Ferrari

Signor Ferrari heads this sixteen-runner Dundalk mile-and-a-quarter contest on the all-weather narrowly ahead of Wild Berries and Doctor Grace, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats, with Star Mind a further few pounds behind but not for dismissing. The low confidence here is warranted given the compressed nature of the form at the head of the field and the size of the contest, so punters should be aware this is far from a straightforward call. That said, Signor Ferrari's narrow edge at the top of the ratings provides the thinnest of reasons to side with him, and on balance he is the one to be with. Signor Ferrari is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Onyeisi

Jack Cleary(5) · Karl Thornton · 3yo

Top-rated of 16
score 47.6 · +6.5 clear of next best (41.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    Karl Thornton: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    32weak
    OR 48
  • Form20% weight
    8weak
    Last 6: 7-4-0-7-0-0
MarketBest price 50.00 (Smarkets) · 16th in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m2½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.89
Mid (7–11)
IV 1.09
High (12–16)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
3yo · F · bp
90700
5535.0
28/1·29.00
SP
29
J: Luke McAteer · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 11
6yo · G · gtp
830000
4824.2
16/1·17.00
SP
33
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 10
6yo · M · bp
21U000
5232.0
13/2·7.50
SP
412
J: Gavin Ryan · T: W R Crawford · draw 2
3yo · G · bht
02908
4829.0
25/1·26.00
SP
51
J: Danny O'Leary(10) · T: G. O'Leary · draw 13
5yo · M · b
351806
6035.5
50/1·51.00
SP
610
J: Ben Coen · T: Cian Hughes · draw 5
4yo · G · bv
022686
4832.1
15/8F·2.88
SP
75
J: G. F. Carroll · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 8
4yo · F · cht
700600
5032.6
12/1·13.00
SP
88
3yo · G · bt
0500
5435.7
10/1·11.00
SP
913
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Karl Thornton · draw 14
3yo · G · bb
740700
4847.6
33/1·34.00
SP
1016
J: R. P. Whelan · T: Peter Fahey · draw 12
5yo · G · bb
259260
5129.4
13/2·7.50
SP
112
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: John McConnell · draw 16
5yo · G · ch
90137
5841.1
16/1·17.00
SP
1211
J: W. J. Lee · T: Richard Brabazon · draw 3
6yo · G · b
55000
4726.9
6/1·7.00
SP
136
J: Rory Cleary · T: M G Quinn · draw 1
4yo · G · btp
394006
4938.0
20/1·21.00
SP
1414
J: James Ryan · T: Luke W Comer · draw 9
6yo · C · b
44348
4127.9
10/1·11.00
SP
——
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 4
3yo · G · bp
060091
5037.0—
——
J: · T: P J F Murphy · draw 6
5yo · G · b
43655
5832.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Dundalk (AW) on 18 September 2026?

Wild Berries (IRE) won the 20:00 Dundalk (AW) at SP 29.00. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by Ross O'Sullivan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Onyeisi) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 20:00 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Wild Berries (IRE) (29.00), 2. Jazz Forever (IRE) (17.00), 3. Doctor Grace (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 15.55s.

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