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Next · 2m17:20Southwell (AW)

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Off in 1h 42m

3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 13 runners · £6,480 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 33.6 · +4.7 clear of next best · best 4/6·1.67
Best value vs consensus
13·13.00 Matchbook · +24% vs fair (consensus 10.47)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way28.9/100 rating
Kashooda
5.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Pyramid

Benoit de la Sayette · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 33.6 · +4.7 clear of next best (28.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    58d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/32 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.67 (10 Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.08
High (11–14)
IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 · combo 6/23 (26%)
3yo · C · bOnly runner
2
—33.65/4·2.304/6·1.67
10 Bet · -28% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
14
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 · combo 15/62 (24%)
3yo · F · b
32
—28.99/2·5.595·5.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 8 · combo 2/8 (25%)
5yo · G · b
53
—26.59/1·10.4713·13.00
Matchbook · +24% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Billy Garritty · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6
5yo · G · bOnly pairing
34
—26.0100/1·93.55170·170.00
Matchbook · +82% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: Charles Bishop · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 14
3yo · G · bOnly runner
76
—22.7100/1·93.55200·200.00
Smarkets · +114% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 9 · combo 2/14 (14%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
——21.010/1·11.1715/2·8.50
10 Bet · -24% vs fair
Compare 22 books ▾
12
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 12 · combo 10/39 (26%)
3yo · F · ch
37
—20.512/1·13.9621·21.00
Matchbook · +50% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
11
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jessica Macey · draw 7
3yo · G · bOnly runner
5
—20.066/1·71.21260·260.00
Matchbook · +265% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
13
J: Laura Pearson · T: Kevin Philippart de Foy · draw 10 · combo 0/7 (0%)
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
85
—18.7150/1·141.02220·220.00
Matchbook · +56% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
10
J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 3 · combo 1/7 (14%)
3yo · G · bbFT BOnly runner
5
—18.550/1·57.2585·85.00
Matchbook · +49% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Dylan Hogan · T: James Horton · draw 11
3yo · G · bOnly runner
8
—16.0150/1·141.02300·300.00
Matchbook · +113% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
8
J: Jack Callan · T: Oliver Cole · draw 1
3yo · G · bOnly runner
——15.020/1·20.9419.5·19.50
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Jack Garritty · T: Toby Bulgin · draw 13
4yo · F · bOnly runner
86
—13.3200/1·210.84330·330.00
Matchbook · +56% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Jonny Peate · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 2
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
7
—13.0100/1·93.55230·230.00
Matchbook · +146% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 22–29 bookmakers per horse with the 40% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 19:00 on 26 September 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

1m3f, Class 3, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Pyramid (score 33.6, best price 1.67). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Pyramid at a best price of 1.67.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org