Who won the 15:29 Hamilton on 28 September 2026?
El Matador (IRE) won the 15:29 Hamilton at SP 4.00. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Ralph Beckett.
15:29 Hamilton
John Mackenzie And Hamish Macgregor Memorial Handicap Stakes
1m½f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 13 runners · £12,885 · Monday, 28 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stEl Matador (IRE)Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndStrength of Spirit (IRE)Jack Nicholls·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.1 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdGeo (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 1.75 lengths20/1·21.00SP
Race time
1m 49.58s
Race time recorded.
In-running (El Matador (IRE))
“Settled in the pack - moved up with two furlongs left - went up to challenge and hit the front close home - kept on gamely to score”
AI top-rated Impartiality (score 63.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way63.4/100 rating
Impartiality
6.00Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Rhoscolyn
Rhoscolyn may sit a few pounds behind El Matador and Thunder Roar on paper, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge over those top-rated rivals make a compelling case for preferring him here on soft ground at Hamilton over eight furlongs. El Matador heads the field on ratings and must be respected, while Thunder Roar and Lir Speciale are capable of making this competitive, so the margin for error is slim. The selection is Rhoscolyn.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Impartiality
Shane Gray · Phillip Makin · 4yo
Top-rated of 13
score 63.4 · +5.0 clear of next best (58.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 8-2-2-2-2-3
- Trainer20% weight68strongPhillip Makin: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 87 — above field median
MarketBest price 6.00 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Hamilton 1m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.95
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.02
High (10–13)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 4yo · G · ch | 52233 | 89 | 58.5 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 934010 | 88 | 56.1 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 13 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 223461 | 70 | 45.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Jack Channon · draw 5 4yo · G · bvFT V | 228002 | 82 | 47.3 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jason Hart · T: Brian Ellison · draw 8 7yo · G · b | 245780 | 82 | 44.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 6 7yo · G · chvFT V | 700087 | 87 | 37.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Shane Gray · T: Phillip Makin · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 822223 | 87 | 63.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1 4yo · G · bb | 000209 | 86 | 42.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 8yo · G · bt | 500822 | 84 | 51.3 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 10 | 12 | J: Connor Beasley · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 850051 | 70 | 44.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 12 6yo · G · b | 018546 | 81 | 49.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 12 | 11 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 078200 | 81 | 47.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 13 | 10 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 13 4yo · F · b | 39718 | 77 | 50.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:29 Hamilton?
No — the AI top pick (Impartiality) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 15:29 Hamilton?
Top finishers: 1. El Matador (IRE) (4.00), 2. Strength of Spirit (IRE) (9.00), 3. Geo (IRE) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:29 Hamilton?
The winning time was 1m 49.58s.
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