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Next · 35m14:30Gowran Park

16:04 Hamilton

Barbara Ann Letham And Son Johnathan Memorial Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 9 runners · £12,885 · Monday, 28 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/10F·2.10
  1. 1st
    City Captain (GB)AI top pick · 57.5
    Daniel Tudhope·Harriet Bethell
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Topwarrior (GB)
    Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Parisiac (IRE)
    Jack Nicholls·Iain Jardine·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 0.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (City Captain (GB))

“Handy early - hit front with a furlong left - asked for effort and challenged close home - kept on to prevail”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.0/100 rating
Francisco's Piece
5.10Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Topwarrior

Topwarrior is preferred to the top-rated Gaeli on progressive profile and fitness, who sits five points ahead on our ratings but may not have the same sharpness coming into this Hamilton five-furlong contest on soft ground. Francisco's Piece and Jordan Electrics will make this competitive and cannot be dismissed lightly, but Topwarrior's upward curve gives him every chance of turning the tables on stronger rivals. The selection is Topwarrior.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

City Captain

Daniel Tudhope · Harriet Bethell · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 57.5 · +7.5 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 6-2-4-1-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Harriet Bethell: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 2.26 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.19
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.00
High (8–10)
IV 0.79

Today: Topwarrior (draw 1) and Dandy Magic (draw 4) get the bias; Francisco's Piece (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 5
4yo · G · b
62412
8257.5
11/10F·2.10
SP
23
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1
4yo · G · btv
10008
8549.8
15/2·8.50
SP
39
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2
7yo · G · bp
122089
7547.0
11/1·12.00
SP
42
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
10yo · G · b
313001
8447.9
7/1·8.00
SP
51
J: Kevin Stott · T: Philip Kirby · draw 3
5yo · G · bb
165600
9242.1
100/1·101.00
SP
67
3yo · F · b
844543
8146.5
18/1·19.00
SP
76
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9
6yo · G · ch
876230
8143.8
25/1·26.00
SP
84
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 8
4yo · G · b
75126
8450.0
3/1·4.00
SP
910
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
12yo · G · bt
909081
7445.1
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
4yo · F · chp
431324
7748.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:04 Hamilton on 28 September 2026?

City Captain (GB) won the 16:04 Hamilton at SP 2.10. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Harriet Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:04 Hamilton?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, City Captain, won the race (AI score 57.5).

What were the placings in the 16:04 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. City Captain (GB) (2.10), 2. Topwarrior (GB) (8.50), 3. Parisiac (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:04 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 0.60s.

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